Role of government policy in food security: Economic and demographic challenges
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/ppm.22(2).2024.38
-
Article InfoVolume 22 2024, Issue #2, pp. 488-501
- 323 Views
-
48 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
The state policy on food security should take into account economic (e.g., expansion of agricultural production following domestic food demand, exports, and imports) and demographic (e.g., adequacy of food reserves and production capacities of the agrosector to the pace of population growth, considering urbanization, migration, and a culture of rational consumption) challenges. Government policy should maintain the balance between the stability of the food system, economic development, and demographic changes. Therefore, this study aims to identify implicit (hidden) structural and functional relationships between these elements. The paper employs structural modeling using STATISTICA; the dataset consists of six food security, eight economic, and seven demographic indicators (using World Bank and Food and Agriculture Organization databases for 2011–2021, targeting 39 countries with different levels of GDP per capita (depending on the availability of statistical data)). The results proved the direct impact of the economic variable on food security and the indirect effect of the demographic variable (demographic changes are the engine that triggers economic transformations that further affect food security). When demographic changes increase by one unit, economic development increases by 0.57 and stability of the food system by 0.454. When economic development increases by one unit, the stability of the food system increases by 0.473.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)Q18, O13, J11
-
References58
-
Tables7
-
Figures3
-
- Figure 1. Functional relationships between explicit and implicit variables
- Figure 2. Functional relationships between explicit and implicit variables
- Figure 3. Normal probability plot of residual distribution
-
- Table 1. Definitions of the selected variables
- Table 2. Descriptive statistics for the input array
- Table 3. Principal components analysis for three groups of indicators
- Table 4. Correlation analysis for the array of input data by groups of indicators
- Table 5. Structural modeling
- Table 6. Basic summary statistics
- Table A1. Grouping of countries by GDP per capita
-
- Aiyedogbon, J. O., Anyanwu, Sarah O., Isa, G. H., Petrushenko, Y., & Zhuravka, O. (2022). Population growth and food security: Evidence from Nigeria. Problems and Perspectives in Management, 20(2), 402-410.
- Anand, A., & Sharma, M. (2023). Social norms moderating the attitude-intention relationship in adopting sustainable products. Innovative Marketing, 19(4), 284-296.
- Bhandari, M. P. (2023). The fundamental principles of social sciences. Business Ethics and Leadership, 7(2), 73-86.
- Bhowmik, D. (2022). Role of foreign direct investment in Indian agriculture. Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks, 6(4), 15-31.
- Bilan, Y., Brychko, M., Buriak, A., & Vasilyeva, T. (2019). Financial, business and trust cycles: The issues of synchronization. Zbornik Radova Ekonomskog Fakultet Au Rijeci, 37(1), 113-138.
- Blikhar, V., Syrovackyi, V., Hodiak, A., Liuklian, M., & Starchak, B. (2023). Legal regulation of the problems of ensuring food security in Ukraine and European Union’s countries in the conditions of modern challenges and dangers. Financial and Credit Activity Problems of Theory and Practice, 4(51), 408-416.
- Bouchafaa, B., Kherchi-Medjden, H., & Rouaski, K. (2023). Is wheat self-sufficiency in Algeria, a myth? SocioEconomic Challenges, 7(1), 52-58.
- Brychko, M., Bilan, Y., Lyeonov, S., & Streimikiene, D. (2023). Do changes in the business environment and sustainable development really matter for enhancing enterprise development? Sustainable Development, 31(2), 587-599.
- Court, T. O. (2022). Demographic characteristics and job satisfaction: The mediation role of organisational justice perceptions in public and private sector health organisations in Nigeria. Health Economics and Management Review, 3(4), 1-14.
- Djamal, D., Fariou, C., & Brahim, L. (2023). Effect of human capital on economic growth in South Africa: An ARDL approach. Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks, 7(4), 1-13.
- Dubanych, O., Vavřina, J., & Polák, J. (2023). Development of financial performance of food retailers as an attribute behind the increase of food insecurity in selected Central and Eastern European Countries. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 20(4), 416-433.
- El Fallahi, F., Ibenrissoul, A., & El Amri, A. (2023). Defining and measuring overall performance in emerging countries: A comprehensive financial perspective review. Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks, 7(3), 81-93.
- FAO. (1996). Rome Declaration on World Food Security and World Food Summit Plan of Action.
- FAO. (2017). 44th Session Committee on World Food Security (CFS). CFS 2017/44/Inf. 15.
- FAO. (2021). Strategic Framework 2022–31.
- FAO. (n.d.). FAOSTAT Suite of Food Security Indicators.
- Gentsoudi, V. (2023). The impact of effective leadership on public sector’s financial instruments: Empirical evidence from Greece. Business Ethics and Leadership, 7(2), 47-54.
- Götmark, F., & Andersson, M. (2023). Achieving sustainable population: Fertility decline in many developing countries follows modern contraception, not economic growth. Sustainable Development, 31(3), 1606-1617.
- Gu, S.-Y., Chen, F.-M., Zhang, C.-S., Zhou, Y.-B., Li, T.-Y., Qiang, N., Zhang, X.-X., Liu, J.-S., Wang, S.-X., Yang, X.-Ch., Guo, X.-K., Hu, Q.-Q., Deng, X.-B., & Han, L.-F. (2023). Assessing food security performance from the One Health concept: An evaluation tool based on the Global One Health Index. Infectious Diseases of Poverty, 12(1), Article 88.
- Hadouga, H. (2023). Leadership in agriculture: Artificial intelligence for modelling and forecasting growth in the industry. Business Ethics and Leadership, 7(3), 13-19.
- Hamulczuk, M., Pawlak, K., Stefańczyk, J., & Gołębiewski, J. (2023). Agri-food supply and retail food prices during the Russia–Ukraine conflict’s early stage: Implications for food security. Agriculture, 13(11), Article 2154.
- Hoxhaj, M., Muharremi, O., & Nushi, E. (2022). Analyses of demographic changes, labor market trends, and challenges in Albania. SocioEconomic Challenges, 6(2), 29-41.
- Ilychok, B., Karkovska, V., Dziurakh, Y., & Маrmulyak A. (2023). Changing trends in Ukraine’s demographic security as a key indicator of socioeconomic stability. Financial and Credit Activity Problems of Theory and Practice, 2(49), 350-360.
- Juhászová, Z., Marci, A., Zhuravka, O., Sidelnyk, N., Boyko, A., & Vasylieva, T. (2023). Modeling the structural relationships between the dynamics of agricultural insurance, the agrarian sector and the level of food security in Ukraine. Financial and Credit Activity Problems of Theory and Practice, 4(51), 230-244.
- Kovljenić, M., & Škorić, J. (2023). Effects of poverty on the level of food security in countries of the former Yugoslavia. Drustvena Istrazivanja, 32(1), 73-92.
- Kuzior, A., & Lobanova, A. (2020). Tools of information and communication technologies in ecological marketing under conditions of sustainable development in industrial regions (through examples of Poland and Ukraine). Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 13(10), Article 238.
- Kuzior, A., Arefieva, O., Kovalchuk, A., Brożek, P., & Tytykalo, V. (2022). Strategic guidelines for the intellectualization of human capital in the context of innovative transformation. Sustainability, 14(19), Article 11937.
- Kuzior, A., Liakisheva, A., Denysiuk, I., Oliinyk, H., & Honchar, L. (2020). Social risks of international labour migration in the context of global challenges. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 13(9), Article 197.
- Kuzior, A., Ober, J., & Karwot, J. (2021). Stakeholder expectation of corporate social responsibility practices: A case study of PWiK Rybnik, Poland. Energies, 14(11), Article 3337.
- Litovtseva, V., Krawczyk, D., Kuzior, A., Brychko, M., & Vasylieva, T. (2022). Marketing research in the context of trust in the public sector: A case of the digital environment. Innovative Marketing, 18(4), 133-147.
- Lyeonov, S., Tiutiunyk, I., Vasekova, M., Dziubenko, O., & Samchyk, M. (2022). Tax, investment, institutional and social channels of economic shadowing: Challenges for macrofinancial stability and good governance. Public and Municipal Finance, 11(1), 128-141.
- Mason-D’Croz, D., Bogard, J. R., Sulser, T. B., Cenacchi, N., Dunston, S., Herrero, M., & Wiebe, K. (2019). Gaps between fruit and vegetable production, demand, and recommended consumption at global and national levels: An integrated modelling study. The Lancet. Planetary Health, 3(7), e318-e329.
- Muharremi, O., Salé, M. J., & Hoxhaj, M. (2022). A mixed-methods study of the influence of demographic factors on Albanian individual taxpayers’ ethical beliefs surrounding tax compliance. Business Ethics and Leadership, 6(1), 47-66.
- Mullens, D., & Shen, S. (2023). Sustainable and entrepreneurial: A path to performance improvements for family firms? SocioEconomic Challenges, 7(4), 54-65.
- Nilsson, E., Becker, P., & Uvo, C. B. (2020). Drivers of abrupt and gradual changes in agricultural systems in Chad. Regional Environmental Change, 20, Article 75.
- Niyaz, A. M., & Allahverdi, L. J. (2023). Medición del nivel de intervención estatal (apoyo) en la pro-ducción agrícola [Measuring the level of state intervention (support) in agricultural production]. Universidad y Sociedad, 15(2), 18-26. (In Spanish).
- Orlov, V., Bukhtiarova, A., Marczuk, M., & Heyenko, M. (2021). International economic and social determinants of the state economic security: A causal analysis. Problems and Perspectives in Management, 19(4), 301-310.
- Oussou, K. F., Guclu, G., Kelebek, H., & Selli, S. (2023). Valorization of cocoa, tea and coffee processing by-products-wastes. In E. Capanoglu, M. D. Navarro-Hortal, T. Y. Forbes-Hernández, & M. Battino (Eds.), Advances in Food and Nutrition Research (pp. 91-130). Academic Press.
- Pakhnenko, O., & Kuan, Z. (2023). Ethics of digital innovation in public administration. Business Ethics and Leadership, 7(1), 113-121.
- Rakotoarisoa, M. A., & Mapp, H. P. (2023). A non-parametric approach to determine an efficient premium for drought insurance. SocioEconomic Challenges, 7(1), 1-14.
- Ramli, M., Boutayeba, F., & Nezai, A. (2022). Public investment in human capital and economic growth in Algeria: An empirical study using ARDL approach. SocioEconomic Challenges, 6(2), 55-66.
- Richardson, K. (2023). Beekeeping role in enhancing food security and environmental public health. Health Economics and Management Review, 4(4), 69-79.
- Romenska, K., Datsenko, V., Samoday, V., Puhach, Y., & Dudchyk, O. (2024). Management of budget flows under martial law. Public and Municipal Finance, 13(1), 55-69.
- Serkendiz, H., Tatli, H., Özcan, H., Çetin, M., & Sungur, A. (2023). Multidimensional assessment of agricultural drought vulnerability based on socioeconomic and biophysical indicators. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 98, Article 104121.
- Shi, Y., Osewe, M., Anastacia, C., Liu, A., Wang, S., & Latif, A. (2023). Agricultural supply-side structural reform and path optimization: Evidence from China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 20(1), Article 113.
- Shynkaruk, L., Dielini, M., Vlasenko, T., Svyrydenko, D., & Lagodiienko, V. (2023). Determinants of Ukrainian economic and food security development under the conditions of martial law. Financial and Credit Activity Problems of Theory and Practice, 4(51), 311-319.
- Singh, S. N. (2022). Coffee value chain in Ethiopia: A case study. Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks, 6(4), 76-100.
- Singh, S. N., & Pandey, A. (2023). Accomplishing Sustainable Development Goals in India: A systematic literature review. Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks, 7(2), 80-87.
- Sporchia, F., Taherzadeh, O., & Caro, D. (2021). Stimulating environmental degradation: A global study of resource use in cocoa, coffee, tea and tobacco supply chains. Current Research in Environmental Sustainability, 3, Article 100029.
- Thiam, I., & Toure, M. (2020). Empirical links between agricultural finance and food security in Senegal. African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 15(4), 311-324.
- Tiutiunyk, I. V., Zolkover, A. O., Lyeonov, S. V., & Ryabushka, L. B. (2022). The impact of economic shadowing on social development: Challenges for macroeconomic stability. Naukovyi Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu, 2022(1), 183-191.
- Toledo, L., Salmoral, G., & Viteri-Salazar, O. (2023). Rethinking agricultural policy in Ecuador (1960–2020): Analysis based on the water–energy–food security nexus. Sustainability, 15(17), Article 12850.
- Tu, Y-X., Kubatko, O., Piven, V., Kovalov, B., & Kharchenko, M. (2023). Promotion of sustainable development in the EU: Social and economic drivers. Sustainability, 15(9), Article 7503.
- United Nations. (2015). Resolution adopted by the General Assembly on 25 September 2015, Transforming our world: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, A/RES/70/1.
- Wang, W., Wei, K., Kubatko, O., Piven, V., Chortok, Y., & Derykolenko, O. (2023). Economic growth and sustainable transition: Investigating classical and novel factors in developed countries. Sustainability, 15(16), Article 12346.
- World Bank. (n.d.). Indicators.
- Yerankin, O., Ivasiv, I., Oleksiuk, O., Ovsiienko, N., & Parii, L. (2023). Formation of a set of national food security indicators. Financial and Credit Activity Problems of Theory and Practice, 2(49), 457-468.
- Zolkover, A., Tiutiunyk, I., Babenko, V., Melnychuk, M., Ivanchenkova, L., & Lagodiienko, N. (2022). The quality of tax administration, macroeconomic stability and economic growth: Assessment and interaction. Review of Economics and Finance, 20, 654-661.