Does type of capital matter for economic growth? A study of the Chinese economy

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The impact of different types of capital flows on China’s economic growth has been widely studied to determine whether the type of capital significantly affects the Chinese economy. The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between long-term capital flows and economic growth in China, considering factors such as Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), portfolio equity, portfolio bonds, and external debt. All secondary data were collected from the World Bank database. The paper also investigates which type of capital flow has the most significant relation with the economic growth of China. A quantitative approach was chosen for the study. Moreover, to overcome the bias output of ordinary least squares, this paper deployed a Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) estimation method. This study has found a relatively stable positive relationship between FDI and growth, where the coefficient of 0.9699 indicates that a 1% increase in FDI is associated with a 0.97% growth in Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Similar to FDI, portfolio equity has a positive impact on GDP growth, with a coefficient of 2.1419. In contrast, portfolio bond and debts have a negative coefficient of –1.7752 and –0.2831. These findings contribute to a deeper understanding of China’s development experience, particularly regarding the role of capital flow. The paper explores two key limitations that need to be explored in the future, i.e., the causal relation between each type of long-term capital flow and economic growth, and the impact of COVID-19 on the economic growth relationship.

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    • Table 1. Variable explanations
    • Table 2. Descriptive statistical analysis for all variables
    • Table 3. OLS regression results
    • Table 4. Effect of long-term capital on growth using regression analysis method 2SLS
    • Table 5. Endogeneity test results
    • Table 6. First-stage regression results
    • Table 7. Results for the test of overidentifying restrictions
    • Table 8. Results of the correlation for all variables
    • Conceptualization
      Md Kamal Hossain
    • Data curation
      Md Kamal Hossain, Jin Hu, Md Abdullah Al Mamun
    • Formal Analysis
      Md Kamal Hossain, Md Abdullah Al Mamun
    • Funding acquisition
      Md Kamal Hossain, Laszlo Vasa
    • Investigation
      Md Kamal Hossain
    • Methodology
      Md Kamal Hossain, Jin Hu
    • Project administration
      Md Kamal Hossain, Laszlo Vasa
    • Resources
      Md Kamal Hossain, Jin Hu, Md Abdullah Al Mamun, Laszlo Vasa
    • Software
      Md Kamal Hossain
    • Validation
      Md Kamal Hossain
    • Visualization
      Md Kamal Hossain
    • Writing – original draft
      Md Kamal Hossain
    • Writing – review & editing
      Md Kamal Hossain, Jin Hu, Md Abdullah Al Mamun, Laszlo Vasa
    • Supervision
      Laszlo Vasa