Józef Antoni Haber
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Forecasting the level of financial security of the country (on the example of Ukraine)
Józef Antoni Haber , Alina Bukhtiarova , Svitlana Chorna , Olesia Iastremska , Tetiana Bolgar doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.15(3).2018.25Investment Management and Financial Innovations Volume 15, 2018 Issue #3 pp. 304-317
Views: 1315 Downloads: 316 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯIn the conditions of functioning of economic relations, which arise between subjects of the financial system of Ukraine, the question of creating safe conditions for their activity is increasingly being raised. Attention is paid to the investigation of the state of financial security of the country as a component of economic security, in terms of its key elements, which allows attention to the most important indicators and to develop measures to prevent existing threats.
The purpose of the paper is to forecast the level of financial security of the country based on regression analysis of impacts factors. The object of the study is the financial system as a mechanism, which is aimed at the activities of financial security subjects of the country to ensure its proper level. As a result of the regression analysis, it was found that changing in the country’s banking security by 1% will decrease the overall financial security index by 0.04 points, while the non-banking market will grow by 0.07 and the monetary component will decrease by 0.51.
Based on the calculation of the arithmetic mean of absolute deviations of independent variables, the estimated value of Ukraine’s financial security level is calculated, which is 40.09% in 2018.
Proposals for improving the “Methodological Recommendations for Calculating the Level of Economic Security of Ukraine” will help to solve the problem of mathematical substantiation of the choice of indicators for assessing financial security, minimize risks, eliminate subjectivity and improve the efficiency and the quality of the country’s financial security assessment methodology.
The article deals with the issues of the financial component of economic security as the main element of ensuring sustainable financial development of the country. -
Estimation of fintech market in Ukraine in terms of global development of financial and banking systems
Józef Antoni Haber , Iryna D’yakonova , Ann Milchakova doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/pmf.07(2).2018.02Public and Municipal Finance Volume 7, 2018 Issue #2 pp. 14-23
Views: 1621 Downloads: 372 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯThis paper examines the fintech concept and fintech market structure. The theoretical and methodological approaches to the adaptation of the Ukrainian banking market to fintech in terms of globalization are investigated. The problems of Ukrainian banking system reforming after the national economy long-term recession are determined. Phases of technology development in the Ukrainian banking system are considered and fintech innovations in Ukraine are discovered.
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Assessment of financial monitoring efficiency in the banking system of Ukraine
Alina Bukhtiarova , Andrii Semenog , Мila Razinkova , Nataliia Nebaba , Józef Antoni Haber doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.15(1).2020.10Banks and Bank Systems Volume 15, 2020 Issue #1 pp. 98-106
Views: 1299 Downloads: 542 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯThe transformation processes taking place in the global economy and the expansion of global business ties increase the overall vulnerability of the international banking system. One of the problems related to money laundering is the process of evaluating the efficiency of financial monitoring measures. The article discusses the issues of assessing the effectiveness of financial monitoring in the banking system of the country. For Ukraine, this problem is especially relevant, because there is a bank-centric model of the financial market (about 90% of assets go through the banking system) in the country. According to official data, 50% of economic activity in Ukraine ends with money laundering. The article presents the improved method that quantifies the level of financial monitoring system effectiveness at commercial banks of Ukraine based on calculations of the integral index. The index indicates the dynamics of the financial system protection degree from the money laundering threat based on the expediency and efficiency of financial monitoring in the banking system. As a result, more comprehensive conclusions about the level of financial security of the country are made. According to assessments, in 2017–2018 the efficiency of financial monitoring of the banking system of Ukraine was at the middle level (about 64%). The proposed method can be applied to evaluate the effectiveness of the financial monitoring system in any country and become the basis for improving the anti-money laundering system through the banking system.
Acknowledgment
The study was conducted as part of state budget research of Sumy State University – Formation of a Public Finance Transparency System as a Prerequisite for Combating Corruption in Ukraine (0118U003585) (in the context of evaluating the effectiveness of financial monitoring of the Ukrainian banking system) and Formation of Tools for the Ukrainian Economy Unshadowing Based on Causal Modeling of Interaction Trajectories of Financial Intermediaries (0120U100473) (in the context of substantiating the need and directions for improving the financial monitoring system in Ukrainian banks).
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