Digital financial infrastructure and SME credit access: Systemic evidence across financial inclusion and economic growth channels
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.23(3).2026.39
-
Article InfoVolume 23 2026, Issue #3, pp. 592–614
- 7 Views
-
1 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Type of the article: Research Article
Abstract
Digital financial infrastructure serves as a key structural correlate of small and medium enterprise (SME) credit availability and systemic financial development across post-Soviet transition economies. This study evaluates the empirical associations between technological connectivity, institutional policy readiness – specifically Digital ID and ISO 20022 standardization – and SME credit access (CreditLine) as the primary outcome of interest, alongside auxiliary supporting analyses of population-level financial inclusion (Ic_Y_norm) and macroeconomic output (lnGDPperCapita). Utilizing a panel dataset for 14 post-Soviet countries from 2011 to 2023 (N = 182) sourced from the World Bank WDI, Global Findex, and official central bank reports, the empirical framework relies on One-Way Country Fixed Effects (FE) specifications with Driscoll–Kraay robust standard errors to account for spatial and temporal dependence, supplemented by a Two-Way Fixed Effects (TWFE) sensitivity analysis. Mobile connectivity demonstrates a positive baseline association with SME credit availability, while internet penetration is identified as a primary empirical correlate of population-level financial inclusion across specifications. The protection of legal rights correlates with enhanced SME credit access, whereas strict AML/CFT compliance shows a strong negative association. Institutional messaging standardization via ISO 20022 exhibits heterogeneous structural differential associations: while positively correlating with SME credit access, it reflects a statistically significant negative association with broader population inclusion. Robustness estimations indicate that exogenous regional shocks (COVID-19, geopolitical conflicts, and energy crises) and macroeconomic slack (inflation, unemployment) correspond to systemic contractions in credit availability.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)G21, O33, G28, C23
-
References69
-
Tables11
-
Figures1
-
- Figure 1. Heatmaps of key indicators of digital infrastructure and access to credit in post-Soviet countries (2011–2023)
-
- Table 1. Descriptive statistics, data sources, and variable specifications (2011–2023, N = 182)
- Table 2. Panel regression results (FE and RE) for the model of SME access to credit resources
- Table 3. Fixed effects by country: cross-country differences in SME credit inclusion
- Table 4. Panel regression results (FE and RE) for the financial inclusion model for the population
- Table 5. Fixed effects by country: cross-country differences for the financial inclusion model for the population
- Table 6. Panel regression results (FE and RE) for the model of macroeconomic effects of the digital transformation of the financial system
- Table 7. Fixed effects by country: cross-country differences for the model of macroeconomic effects of the financial system’s digital transformation
- Table 8. Results of models with fixed effects and a dummy variable for crisis years (2011–2023)
- Table 9. Robustness test: fixed-effects estimation on un-interpolated global Findex waves (N = 56, T = 4)
- Table 10. Two-Way Fixed Effects (TWFE) sensitivity analysis for SME credit access (CreditLine, 2011–2023)
- Table A1. Country-level implementation dates and coding for ISO20022 (2011–2023)
-
- Abdullayev, K., Rakhimzhanova, K., Avetikyan, A., Zolkover, A., Danileviča, A., Povoroznyk, M., & Zhou, Y. (2026). AI ecosystem pillars and economic growth: Implications for knowledge economy architecture from AI vibrancy subindices. Knowledge and Performance Management, 10(1), 66-87.
- Alsammak, M., Majid, A. S. A., Allahham, M., & Alrwashdeh, M. (2026). The nexus between AI-driven capabilities and knowledge systems in digital business environments. Knowledge and Performance Management, 10(1), 122-136.
- Altawalbeh, M. (2026). The impact of digital accounting practices on agency costs management: Evidence from an emerging market. Accounting and Financial Control, 7(1), 66-77.
- Alzubi, M. M. S. (2026). Digital maturity and corporate reputation in Jordanian insurance companies: The role of digital marketing, customer engagement, and brand trust. Insurance Markets and Companies, 17(2), 1-12.
- Ananzeh, I. E. N., Khalaf, L., & Khalawi, D. (2025). The role of Fintech and financial inclusion in the economic development of countries: A comparative analysis. Banks and Bank Systems, 20(1), 248-258.
- Basel Institute on Governance. (2023). Basel AML Index 2023: 12th public edition.
- Bezverkhyi, K. V., Khochai, V. O., & Poddubna, N. M. (2026a). The impact of organizational and technological features of agricultural enterprises on accounting and analytical support of crop production management. Science and Innovation, 22(2), 59-74.
- Bezverkhyi, K., Khochai, V., Parasii-Verhunenko, I., Ostapenko, Y., & Matiukha, M. (2026b). Development of an econometric model for assessing the impact of production cost components on the formation of incomes of agricultural enterprises. Technology Audit and Production Reserves, 3(4(89)), 6-18.
- Burrell, D. N., Wansi, T., Morin, S. L., Rahim, E., Tessema, D. B., Alemu, B. A., Harris, N., & Conley, L. (2025). Harnessing behavioral economics, green promotions, and financial incentives as catalysts for sustainable practices. Green Transition and Sustainable Development, 1(1), 1-16.
- Callaway, B., & Sant’Anna, P. H. C. (2021). Difference-in-Differences with multiple time periods. Journal of Econometrics, 225(2), 200-230.
- Daeli, E. C., & Wedari, L. K. (2025). Exploring the digital transformation impacts on bank profitability in Indonesia: A textual and sentiment analysis approach. Banks and Bank Systems, 20(1), 271-281.
- Demirgüç-Kunt, A., Klapper, L., Singer, D., & Ansar, S. (2022). The Global Findex Database 2021: Financial inclusion, digital payments, and resilience in the age of COVID-19. World Bank.
- El Alaoui, S., Aasri, M. R., & Faiteh, A. (2026). Impact of governance on value creation in Moroccan SMEs: An empirical analysis based on economic value added. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 23(2), 351-363.
- European Central Bank. (2023). Survey on the access to finance of enterprises in the euro area: October 2022 to March 2023.
- Financial Action Task Force (FATF). (2023). Consolidated assessment ratings.
- Galoyan, D., Mkrtchyan, T., Hrosul, V., Buhrimenko, R., Smirnova, P., & Balamut, H. (2023). Formation of adaptation strategy for business entities in the context of digital transformation of the economy. Review of Economics and Finance, 21(1), 616-621.
- Harma, W., Telli, S., & Maatallah, M. (2025). Socio-economic challenges of e-commerce-driven exports: Regulatory framework, components, institutional capacities, and approaches. SocioEconomic Challenges, 9(3), 97-119.
- Hernik, J., Sagan, A., Jarecki, W., & Grinberga-Zalite, G. (2025). Digital transformation in business process management: The role of employee engagement. Human Technology, 21(1), 203-221.
- Hrytsenko, L., Sheliemina, N., & Latysh, D. (2026). Digital government and health system performance: Does digitalization improve the effectiveness of health expenditure? Health Economics and Management Review, 7(1), 21-40.
- Huy, D. M., & Tung, N. T. (2026). Digital transformation and internal control effectiveness: The moderating role of firm size in Vietnamese enterprises. Accounting and Financial Control, 7(2), 1-14.
- Indrawati, M., Prasetyo, I., & Rusdiyanto, R. (2026). The role of innovation capability in mediating the effect of customer relationship management and market orientation on SME performance. Problems and Perspectives in Management, 24(1), 274-291.
- International Finance Corporation. (2017). MSME finance gap: Assessment of the shortfalls and opportunities in financing micro, small and medium enterprises in emerging markets.
- International Monetary Fund (IMF). (2023). Financial Access Survey: 2023 trends and developments.
- International Telecommunication Union (ITU). (2023). World telecommunication/ICT indicators database (27th ed.) [Data set].
- Iyer, S. S., Mahama, A. J., Raji, B., Arora, R., & Subramanian, R. (2025). Socioeconomic challenges of social engineering and ensuring cybersecurity in mobile device use. SocioEconomic Challenges, 9(4), 62-85.
- Juhászová, Z., Brychko, A., Mosin, O., Povoroznyk, M., & Zakharkina, L. (2026). The role of GovTech in building an ethical, transparent, equitable, digital, and secure state during wartime and post-war reconstruction: Trends and patterns analysis from international experience. Business Ethics and Leadership, 10(2), 1-31.
- Jumaiyah, Andayani, W., Rosidi, R., & Purwanti, L. (2025). Digital transformation in village financial management: A bibliometric analysis of research evolution and contemporary challenges. Public and Municipal Finance, 14(2), 15-28.
- Kafoe, A. S., Foh, B. M., & Kafoe, M. A. (2026). Beyond panacea: Digital governance, AI, and the political economy of public benefit in African development. Public Governance, Regulation and Law, 2(2), 1-20.
- Karas, M., Prusak, B., Gulyas, E., Tumpach, M., & Lunacek, J. (2026). Financial reporting frameworks and distress prediction models in SME auditing: Evidence from the Visegrad Four countries. Accounting and Financial Control, 7(1), 128-143.
- Klochan, I., & Filipov, D. (2023). Design of assessment and forecasting of a country’s financial security in a change management conditions. Smart Economy, Entrepreneurship and Security, 1(1), 31-42.
- Klymenchukova, N., & Riashchenko, V. (2023). Modelling the financial management strategy of an innovative environmental enterprise. Smart Economy, Entrepreneurship and Security, 1(1), 7-19.
- Kuzior, A., & Sira, M. (2025). Sustainable digital economy transformation through intelligent automation: A multi-environmental framework for strategic decision-making. Sustainability, 17(17), 7723.
- Kuzior, A., Arefieva, O., Poberezhna, Z., & Arefiev, S. (2026). Digitalization of business processes in the integrated concept of “Industry 5.0” in ensuring investment and security management of transport enterprises. Scientific Journal of Silesian University of Technology. Series Transport, 130, 125-140.
- Kuzior, A., Samoilikova, A., Kossek, W., Krišková, P., & Vasylieva, T. (2024). Is digital development a factor of university-industry R&D collaboration and vice versa? Production Engineering Archives, 30(2), 204-213.
- Laskienė, D., Šiukščiūtė, R., Gižienė, V., & Lyeonov, S. (2026). Financial inclusion and social outcomes in the European Union: Evidence from time-series analysis. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 23(1), 360-373.
- Lyeonov, S., Hrytsenko, L., Macko, A., & Oláh, J. (2026a). E-government development and business transactional expenditure: Cross-country evidence on interest rate spread distortions, logistics performance, and services trade restrictiveness. Economics and Sociology, 19(1), 195-223.
- Lyeonov, S., Hrytsenko, L., Zámek, D., & Remsei, S. (2026b). E-government development, armed conflict, and government revenue: A cross-country panel analysis. Journal of International Studies, 19(1), 160-184.
- Lygina, O., Kesoyan, N. M., Uvakbayeva, G., Kovshun, N., Dmitrieva, E., Shchokin, R., & Zakharkina, L. (2026). Digital governance as a tool against money laundering: Cross-country evidence for financial crime reduction. Public and Municipal Finance, 15(1), 68-86.
- Maralov, A., Kurmanov, N., Kirichok, O., Amerkhanova, A., Moldakenova, Y., Shayakhmetova, S., & Karimbayeva, G. (2024). Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practice and company performance: Evidence from telecommunication sector. Journal of Infrastructure, Policy and Development, 8(8), Article 7519.
- Mihus, I., & Zaiets, R. (2024). Forecasting current assets of enterprises to support financial and economic security and prevent bankruptcy. Smart Economy, Entrepreneurship and Security, 2(1), 29-37.
- Mkrtchyan, T. M., Rashidov, R. R., Krutilin, A. A., & Tazhiyev, R. O. (2024). Regulation and enforcement of human rights, transparency, data protection, ethics of technology, and data use in the context of digital transformation. In Digital inclusiveness: Bridging the divide in the digital economy (pp. 75-86). World Scientific.
- National Bank of Ukraine (NBU). (2023). Strategy of the National Bank of Ukraine.
- Nguyen, T. D., Nguyen, T. M. P., & Nguyen, T. P. (2026). Digital transformation as a moderator for green innovation and economic performance in the “twin transition”. Environmental Economics, 17(2), 191-207.
- Ntuli, F., Ntshangase, B. A., & Msosa, S. K. (2025). Innovative financial management reforms: A catalyst of good governance in the South African public sector. Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks, 9(4), 16-29.
- Otakhonova, S. K., Galoyan, D., Kholmatova, D. A., & Mkrtchyan, T. M. (2024). Vectors of automatization of knowledge and information systems management in the digital economy. Proceedings on Engineering Sciences, 6(3), 1221-1228.
- Pollák, F., Kalamen, K., & Vavrek, R. (2026). Re-pricing risk in the digital economy: A multi-wave analysis of technology-sector volatility during COVID-19. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 23(1), 124-139.
- Prokopenko, O., Ergo, K., & Babaiev, D. (2026). Does spatial clustering lead to tangible financial advantages for enterprises? Evidence from IT firms in Estonian smart cities. Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks, 10(1), 72-94.
- Ravšelj, D., Hodžić, S., & Aristovnik, A. (2026). E-government initiatives and economic growth in the EU member states. Economics and Sociology, 19(1), 11-27.
- Rysin, V., Prokopenko, O., Muravskyi, O., Pechenko, R., Holiachuk, N., & Zinchenko, A. (2023). Personalization of banking products (services) using digitalization technologies. WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics, 20, 2528-2539.
- Saienko, V., Skomorovskyi, A., Iermak, V., Sereda, O., & Bulavynets, O. (2025). The role of financial inclusion in driving economic growth. African Journal of Applied Research, 11(1), 472-483.
- Sartamorn, S., Oe, H., & Yamaoka, Y. (2025). Financial stratification and digital transformation under market disruption: Evidence from Thai SMEs. Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks, 9(3), 49-63.
- Sembiyeva, L., Prokopenko, O., Zholamanova, M., Amanova, G., & Tazhbenova, G. (2025). Adoption in financial accounting: Enhancing efficiency and compliance. In M. T. Pereira, F. J. G. Silva, V. Ivanov, I. Pinto, L. P. Ferreira (Eds.), Advances in design, simulation and manufacturing VIII (pp. 202-217). Springer.
- Sharov, V., Garafonova, O., Dvornyk, I., & Bilan, S. (2026). Business model innovation in e-commerce: Ethical business leadership through service architecture diversification. Business Ethics and Leadership, 10(1), 41-65.
- Siregar, O. M., Lubis, A. N., Rini, E. S., & Silalahi, A. S. (2026). How marketing capability and product advantage drive performance: The mediating role of perceptual product congruity in culinary SMEs. Innovative Marketing, 22(1), 262-273.
- Sitnicki, M. W., Serhiienko, R., Halynskyi, D., & Zhytar, M. (2026). Economic freedom and the dynamics of energy start-ups: Cross-country evidence on green and digital entrepreneurship and financing. Journal of International Studies, 19(1), 255-279.
- Suyanto, S., & Wijaya, M. (2026). The nexus of economic growth, foreign direct investment, and environmental sustainability: An empirical evidence. Environmental Economics, 17(2), 112-127.
- Taylor, M. (2026). Integrating decision-making, technology adoption models, and interoperability frameworks: A multilevel theoretical framework for cybersecurity technology adoption. Knowledge Economy and Lifelong Learning, 2(2), 89-108.
- Thapaliya, P. R., & Dongol, P. (2026). Factors influencing the use of digital payment services and customer satisfaction in banking sector: An implication for technological innovation. Innovative Marketing, 22(1), 55-64.
- Tsymbal, L., & Demediuk, A. (2025). Economic security of Ukraine under war: A foreign trade perspective. Safety and Security Advances, 1(1), 63-78.
- Tutar, H., Akçi, Y., Fialová, V., & Kossa, G. (2025). The asymmetric impact of digital infrastructure on income inequality: A panel quantile regression analysis of OECD countries. Economics and Sociology, 18(4), 208-223.
- Vakhovych, I. M., Al Shirawi, T., & Smolych, D. (2026). Statistical visibility and identification of the non-governmental organizations in economic institutional sectors. Journal of Statistics Applications and Probability, 15(1), 11-21.
- Vasylieva, T., Krawczyk, D., Rącka, I., & Fenyves, V. (2026). Digital government and quality of life: Unpacking the human-centred mechanisms of e-government development. Human Technology, 22(1), 178-197.
- World Bank. (2018). Payment systems worldwide: A snapshot. Summary outcomes of the fourth Global Payment Systems Survey.
- World Bank. (2020). Doing Business 2020: Comparing business regulation in 190 economies.
- World Bank. (2023). World Development Indicators [Data set].
- Yarovenko, H., Ohol, D., Ashirbekova, L., & Popp, J. (2025). Digital transformation and economic development in Europe: Classical and machine-oriented approaches. Journal of International Studies, 18(4), 256-284.
- Yildirim, Y. (2025). Measuring systemic stress in emerging markets: Socioeconomic challenges for financial and real sectors. SocioEconomic Challenges, 9(4), 129-149.
- Zhumanova, B., Nazaryan, G., Imashev, A., Kutsenko, V., Chentsov, V., Kuzmenko, A., & Kozynets, K. (2026). GovTech maturity, budget transparency and institutional trust: A cross-country analysis. Business Ethics and Leadership, 10(2), 73-93.
- Zhuravka, F., Chorna, S., Petrushenko, Y., Alwasiak, S., Kubakh, T., Mordan, Y., & Soss, J. (2024). Financial security of Ukraine under martial law: Impact of macroeconomic determinants. Public and Municipal Finance, 13(2), 1-13.


