The relationship between foreign capital inflows and entrepreneurial stability in the context of bankruptcy prevention

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Type of the article: Research Article

Abstract
Ensuring entrepreneurial stability of the business environment constitutes an important objective of public administration, particularly relevant amid global political and economic instability and exposure to external shocks, especially for minimizing the risks of financial distress and preventing corporate bankruptcy. The study aims to assess the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) as a percentage of GDP and the level of entrepreneurial stability as a prerequisite for reducing bankruptcy intensity and ensuring the sustainable functioning of enterprises. Correlation and regression analyses are applied for the 2016–2023 data across 15 EU countries selected according to the criterion of data availability. The results reveal the association between FDI (% of GDP) and a composite indicator of entrepreneurial stability, which indirectly reflects the resilience of enterprises to bankruptcy and crisis phenomena. A cross-country differentiation allows for the classification of four groups: countries with a strong negative association (Germany, France, Latvia, Lithuania), a strong positive association (the Netherlands, Romania), a medium level of association (Estonia, Spain, Croatia, Italy, Cyprus), and a weak relationship (Luxembourg, Poland, Portugal, Norway). Using the ARDL model, both short-term and lagged effects between FDI and entrepreneurial stability have been identified, as well as their impact on financial resilience and the reduction of bankruptcy probability over time. The regression models enable the assessment of the impact of FDI on business stability, forecasting bankruptcy risks, and supporting managerial decision-making to stimulate entrepreneurial activity and enhance economic security.

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    • Figure 1. Algorithm for examining the association between the volume of FDI as a percentage of GDP (x) and the level of entrepreneurial stability (Y)
    • Figure 2. Dynamics of enterprise registration in EU countries over the period 2016–2023, %
    • Figure 3. Dynamics of enterprise bankruptcies in EU countries over 2016–2023, %
    • Figure 4. Dynamics of foreign direct investment inflows as a percentage of GDP, %
    • Figure 5. Visualization of the fitted regression models using Germany as an example
    • Table 1. Calculation of the synthetic indicator of entrepreneurial stability in selected European countries over the period 2016–2023
    • Table 2. Results of the assessment of the association between FDI as a percentage of GDP (FDI%GDP) and the synthetic indicator of entrepreneurial stability (IS)
    • Table 3. Results of testing the fitted regression models (Table 2) for stationarity
    • Conceptualization
      Serhii Kozlovskyi, Ihor Vechirko, Liudmyla Nikolenko
    • Formal Analysis
      Serhii Kozlovskyi, Ihor Vechirko, Liudmyla Nikolenko
    • Methodology
      Serhii Kozlovskyi, Ihor Vechirko
    • Project administration
      Serhii Kozlovskyi
    • Supervision
      Serhii Kozlovskyi, Ivan Zayukov, Liudmyla Nikolenko
    • Writing – original draft
      Serhii Kozlovskyi, Ivan Zayukov
    • Writing – review & editing
      Serhii Kozlovskyi, Tetiana Kulinich, Ivan Zayukov, Liudmyla Nikolenko, Vitalina Puhach
    • Investigation
      Ihor Vechirko, Ivan Zayukov
    • Resources
      Ihor Vechirko, Tetiana Kulinich, Ivan Zayukov, Liudmyla Nikolenko, Vitalina Puhach
    • Visualization
      Ihor Vechirko, Tetiana Kulinich, Vitalina Puhach
    • Data curation
      Tetiana Kulinich, Liudmyla Nikolenko, Vitalina Puhach
    • Funding acquisition
      Tetiana Kulinich, Ivan Zayukov, Vitalina Puhach
    • Software
      Tetiana Kulinich
    • Validation
      Ivan Zayukov, Vitalina Puhach