The impact of environmental uncertainty and industry competition on firm value: Examining the mediating role of ESG in six Asian countries

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Type of the article: Research Article

Abstract
This study explores the impact of environmental uncertainty and industry competition on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices and company value in the energy sector across six ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, the Philippines, and Vietnam) during 2013–2024. Using an unbalanced panel dataset comprising 257 companies and 2,570 observations, the analysis employs a two-way fixed effects (FE) model and bootstrap mediation tests. The results reveal four critical findings. First, environmental uncertainty (β = 0.032, p < 0.001) and industry competition (β = 0.021, p = 0.010) exert a significant positive influence on ESG practices, suggesting that firms enhance sustainability disclosures as a strategic mechanism to maintain institutional legitimacy and manage exogenous risks. Second, both environmental uncertainty (β = –0.047, p < 0.001) and industry competition (β = –0.056, p = 0.006) significantly reduce firm value (Tobin’s Q) due to heightened market volatility, margin compression, and increased risk premiums. Third, ESG practices do not exhibit a significant direct effect on company value (β = 0.011, p = 0.560), indicating that direct financial premiums from sustainability efforts remain limited in the short term. Finally, bootstrap mediation tests confirm that ESG does not significantly mediate the influence of either environmental uncertainty or industry competition on firm value. This study highlights ESG as a risk mitigation tool rather than a direct driver of corporate valuation within the ASEAN energy landscape. It advises energy practitioners to integrate ESG policies with operational resilience while accounting for systemic external pressures in their core corporate strategy.

Acknowledgment
We gratefully acknowledge the financial support provided by the Ministry of Higher Education, Science, and Technology of the Republic of Indonesia.

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    • Table 1. Operational variables
    • Table 2. Descriptive tests
    • Table 3. Correlation test
    • Table 4. ESG determination model test
    • Table 5. Firm value determination model test
    • Table 6. Robustness test
    • Table 7. Mediation test
    • Conceptualization
      Dewi Cahyani Pangestuti, Amrie Firmansyah, Ira Geraldina
    • Formal Analysis
      Dewi Cahyani Pangestuti, Ira Geraldina
    • Project administration
      Dewi Cahyani Pangestuti, Ira Geraldina
    • Resources
      Dewi Cahyani Pangestuti, Amrie Firmansyah
    • Supervision
      Dewi Cahyani Pangestuti, Amrie Firmansyah, Ira Geraldina
    • Writing – original draft
      Dewi Cahyani Pangestuti, Amrie Firmansyah, Ira Geraldina
    • Writing – review & editing
      Dewi Cahyani Pangestuti, Amrie Firmansyah, Ira Geraldina
    • Methodology
      Amrie Firmansyah, Ira Geraldina
    • Data curation
      Ira Geraldina