Simulation of the impact of economic development on social development of the country
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/dm.18(3).2020.04
-
Article InfoVolume 18 2020, Issue #3, pp. 37-54
- Cited by
- 637 Views
-
71 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
In the current conditions of development of the international and national economy, an important task of statistical research is to conduct an objective and timely assessment and modeling of the relationship between indicators of economic and social development. Based on the results of these studies, reasonable management influences of the state on the adjustment and regulation of the country’s development are accepted. The article is devoted to the study of the relationship between the main components of economic and social development of the country and the construction of a set of models for forecasting the prospects of the country. The object of the study is the socio-economic condition of the country. The article proposes an algorithmic model for assessing the impact of economic development on society, which allows to identify key economic indicators that influence and shape the social development of the country. The practical value of the algorithmic model is to develop a system of evaluation and selection as a result of modeling the most significant factors that shape the social development of the country. The study confirmed the hypothesis of the dominant impact of economic development on society and determined that the main economic factors are the level of competencies that satisfy the modern labour market, technical development of businesses and their competitiveness in markets.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)С15, С82, О11, О15
-
References37
-
Tables8
-
Figures6
-
- Figure 1. Algorithmic model for assessing the impact of economic development on the social development of the country
- Figure 2. Trends in Ukraine’s position on the competitiveness index and HDI
- Figure 3. Dynamics of integrated indicators of economic and social development of Ukraine for the period 1990–2018
- Figure 4. Retrospective and perspective values of the general indicator of social development of the country
- Figure B1. Initial data and the final correlation matrix for the components of the HDI
- Figure B2. Initial data and the final correlation matrix for the components of the competitiveness index
-
- Table 1. Competitiveness indices for the period from 1990 to 2018
- Table 2. Human development indices for the period 1990–2018
- Table 3. Comparison of HDI components of Ukraine and the countries - representatives of each of the groups
- Table 4. Complex of models and forecast values of economic indicators
- Table А1. Characteristics of the step of the algorithmic model
- Table C1. Correlation matrix for indicators of the integrated indicator social development
- Table C2. Correlation matrix for indicators of the integrated indicator economic development
- Table C3. The results of building an economic and mathematical model
-
- Akoff, R. (1985). Creating тне соароаате future. Plan ог bе planned for (327 p.). Moskva: Progress. (In Russian).
- Aleksandrov, V. (2000). Razvivajushhiesja sistemy v nauke, tehnike, obshhestve i kul’ture. Ch. 1. Teorija sistem i sistemnoe modelirovanie [Developing systems. In science, technology, society and culture. P. 1: Systems theory and systems modeling] (243 p.). Sankt-Peterburg: SPbGTU. (In Russian).
- Atkinson, A. (1970). On the Measurement of Inequality. Journal of Economic Theory, 2, 244-263.
- Babenko, V., Perevozova, I., Kravchenko, M., Krutko, M., & Babenko, D. (2020). Modern processes of regional economic integration of Ukraine in the context of sustainable development. E3S Web of Conferences 166.
- Cattaneo, C. (2008). The Determinants of Actual Migration and the Role of Wages and Unemployment in Albania: an Empirical Analysis. The European Journal of Comparative Economics, 5(1), 3-32.
- Copa, N. (2010). Upravlenie razvitiem promyshlennyh predprijatij: metodologija, modeli, metody [Industrial enterprise development management: methodology, models, methods] (320 p.). Simferopol’: Arial. (In Russian).
- Cowell, F. (1980). On the Structure of Additive Inequality Measures. Review of Economic Studies, 47(3), 521-531.
- Czaika, M. (2015). Migration and Economic Prospects. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 41(1), 58-82.
- Dalton H. (1920). The Measurement of the Inequality of Incomes. The Economic Journal, 30(119), 348-361.
- Deaton A. (1996). The Analysis of Household Surveys: A Microeconometric Approach to Development Policy (479 p.). Washington: World Bank.
- Gumanitarnyy portal (2020). Mirovyy reyting stran po urovnyu sotsialnogo progressa [World countries rating by social progress level].
- Human Development Report (2018). Human Development Reports, 1990-2018.
- Hutorov, A., Lupenko, Y., Zakharchuk, O., Hutorova, O., & Dorokhov, O. (2020). A. Inclusive Development of the Ukrainian Economy. TEM Journal, 9(1), 296-303.
- Jadgarov, Ja. (2009). Istorija jekonomicheskih uchenij [History of Economic Thought] (480 p.). Moskva: Infra-М. (In Russian).
- Kurunova, Y. (2013). Factors of international migration in EU-8. International Journal of Academic Research, 5, 275-278.
- Kuzkin, Y., Cherkashyna, T., Nebaba, N., & Kuchmacz, B. (2019). Economic growth of the country and national intellectual capital (evidence from the postsocialist countries of the central and eastern Europe). Problems and Perspectives in Management, 17, 348-359.
- Libanova, E. (Ed.) (2010). Yakist informatsiinoho zabezpechennia sotsialnoi polityky [Quality of information support of social policy] (248 p.). Kyiv: Dukh i litera. (In Ukrainian).
- Lorenz, M. (1905). Methods of Measuring the Concentration of Wealth. Publications of the American Statistical Association, 9(70), 209-219.
- Makarova, O., & Ghladun, O. (2012). Rehionalnyi indeks liudskoho rozvytku: prychyny ta napriamy vdoskonalennia metodyky rozrakhunku [Regional Human Development Index: reasons and directions of improvement of calculation methodology]. Statystyka Ukrainy - Statistics of Ukraine, 1, 10-15. (In Ukrainian).
- Makotsoba, M. (2012). Liudskyi rozvytok, ekonomika znan i konkurentospromozhnist: vzaiemozviazok i vzaiemozalezhnist [Human development, knowledge economy and competitiveness: interconnectedness and interdependence]. Theoretical and applied issues of economics, 27(1), 368-374. (In Ukrainian).
- Malyarets, L., Barannik, I., Sabadash, L., & Grynko, P. (2019). Modeling the Economic Sustainability of the Macro System (for Example Ukraine). Montenegrin Journal of Economics, 14(3), 23-35.
- Melnyk, L. (2013). Fundamentalni osnovy rozvytku [Foundations of development] (288 p.). Sumy: ITD «Universi-tetskaja kniga». (In Russian).
- Ministry for Development of Economy, Trade and Agriculture of Ukraine (2020). Ekonomichna strateghija: zrostannja cherez investyciji [Economic strategy: growth through investment]. (In Ukrainian).
- Plyuta, V. (1989). Sravnitelnyy mnogomernyy analiz v ekonometricheskom modelirovanii [Comparative Multivariate Analysis in Econometric Modeling] (151 p.). Moskva: Finansy i statistika. (In Russian).
- Ponomarenko, V., Pushkar, O., & Trydid, O. (2002). Stratehichne upravlinnia rozvytkom pidpryiemstva [Strategic management of enterprise development] (640 p.). Kharkiv: KhDEU. (In Ukrainian).
- Raievnieva, O. (2006). Upravlinnia rozvytkom pidpryiemstva: metodolohiia, mekhanizmy, modeli [Enterprise development management: methodology, mechanisms, models] (496 p.). Kharkiv: INZhEK. (In Ukrainian).
- Semenov, V. (2008). Ekonomiko-statystychni modeli ta metody doslidzhennia sotsialnykh protsesiv: nerivnist, bidnist, poliaryzatsiia. T. 1. Nerivnist [Economic and statistical models and methods of studying social processes: inequality, poverty, polarization. T. 1. Inequality] (237 p.). Poltava: RVVPU-SKU. (In Ukrainian).
- Shcherbak, V., Ganushchak-Yefimenko, L., Nifatova, O. etc. (2020). Use of key indicators to monitor sustainable development of rural areas. Global Journal of Environmental Science and Management, 6, 175-190.
- Shumpeter, J. (2008). Teoriya ekonomicheskogo razvitiya [Economic development theory] (400 p.). Moskva: Direktmedia Pablishing. (In Russian).
- State Statistics Service of Ukraine (n.d.). Official website.
- The world only (2019). Indeks chelovecheskogo razvitija po stranam (s 2014 po 2018, dannyye 2019 goda) [Human Development Indices by Country (2014 to 2018, 2019 data)].
- United Nations Development Programme (2018). Indeksy ta pokaznyky ljudsjkogho rozvytku: Onovlena statystyka za 2018 rik [Indices and indicators of human development: Updated statistics for 2018].
- Vestnik Universiteta imeni O. Kutafina (2017). Rimskij Klub: ideja ustojchivogo razvitija [Club of Rome: the idea of sustainable development]. Vestnik Universiteta imeni O. Kutafina - Bulletin of the O. Kutafina, 2, 213-225. (In Russian)ю
- World Economic Forum (2019). Global Competitiveness Report 2019: How to end a lost decade of productivity growth.
- Yitzhaki, S., & Lerman, R. (1991). Income Inequality Effects by Income Source: a New Approach and Applications to the United States. The Review of Income and Wealt, 37, 313-329.
- Zaghorsjkyj, V. (2018). Kontseptualni osnovy formuvannia systemy upravlinnia stalym rozvytkom ekoloho-ekonomichnykh system [Conceptual bases of formation of management system of sustainable development of ecological and economic systems] (336 p.). Ljviv: LRIDU NADU. (In Ukrainian).
- Žičkutė, I. & Kumpikaitė-Valiūnienė, V. (2015). Theoretical insights on the migration process from economic behaviour’s perspective. Social and Behavioral Sciences, 213, 873-878.