Valuing synergies in strategic mergers and acquisitions using the real options approach
-
Received February 7, 2017;Accepted March 29, 2017;Published May 12, 2017
- Author(s)
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.14(1-1).2017.10
-
Article InfoVolume 14 2017, Issue #1 (cont.), pp. 236-247
- TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯ
-
Cited by16 articlesJournal title: Journal of Risk and Financial ManagementArticle title: Measuring Synergies of Banks’ Cross-Border Mergers by Real Options: Case Study of Luminor Group ABDOI: 10.3390/jrfm14090403Volume: 14 / Issue: 9 / First page: 403 / Year: 2021Contributors: Andrejs ČirjevskisJournal title: Journal of Risk and Financial ManagementArticle title: Exploring Competence-Based Synergism in Strategic Collaborations: Evidence from the Global Healthcare IndustryDOI: 10.3390/jrfm17030093Volume: 17 / Issue: 3 / First page: 93 / Year: 2024Contributors: Andrejs ČirjevskisJournal title: Vilakshan - XIMB Journal of ManagementArticle title: Analysis of payment methods in merger and acquisition deals within the United KingdomDOI: 10.1108/XJM-04-2024-0074Volume: / Issue: / First page: / Year: 2024Contributors: Akindele Babatunde Omotesho, Ayodeji Michael ObadireJournal title: Journal of Economic Dynamics and ControlArticle title: Dynamic capital structure choice and investment timingDOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2019.04.002Volume: 102 / Issue: / First page: 70 / Year: 2019Contributors: Engelbert J. Dockner, Richard F. Hartl, Peter M. KortJournal title:Article title:DOI:Volume: / Issue: / First page: / Year:Contributors:Journal title: Review of Economic and Business StudiesArticle title: The Innovation Perspective of the Acquirers: Empirical Evidence Regarding Patent-Driven M&AsDOI: 10.1515/rebs-2019-0092Volume: 12 / Issue: 2 / First page: 57 / Year: 2019Contributors: George Marian Aevoae, Roxana Dicu, Daniela MardirosJournal title: Administrative SciencesArticle title: Valuing Reciprocal Synergies in Merger and Acquisition Deals Using the Real Option AnalysisDOI: 10.3390/admsci10020027Volume: 10 / Issue: 2 / First page: 27 / Year: 2020Contributors: Andrejs ČirjevskisJournal title: Journal of Risk and Financial ManagementArticle title: Mergers and Acquisitions Risk ModelingDOI: 10.3390/jrfm14090451Volume: 14 / Issue: 9 / First page: 451 / Year: 2021Contributors: Yulia Vertakova, Inga Vselenskaya, Vladimir PlotnikovJournal title:Article title:DOI:Volume: / Issue: / First page: / Year:Contributors:Journal title: Journal of Risk and Financial ManagementArticle title: Exploring the Link of Real Options Theory with Dynamic Capabilities Framework in Open Innovation-Type Merger and Acquisition DealsDOI: 10.3390/jrfm14040168Volume: 14 / Issue: 4 / First page: 168 / Year: 2021Contributors: Andrejs ČirjevskisJournal title: International Journal of Finance & EconomicsArticle title: Controlling shareholders' influence on acquisition decisions and value creation: An empirical study from ChinaDOI: 10.1002/ijfe.2520Volume: 28 / Issue: 2 / First page: 1965 / Year: 2023Contributors: Evans Opoku‐Mensah, Yuming YinJournal title:Article title:DOI:Volume: / Issue: / First page: / Year:Contributors:Journal title: Journal of Risk and Financial ManagementArticle title: Exploring Critical Success Factors of Competence-Based Synergy in Strategic Alliances: The Renault–Nissan–Mitsubishi Strategic AllianceDOI: 10.3390/jrfm14080385Volume: 14 / Issue: 8 / First page: 385 / Year: 2021Contributors: Andrejs ČirjevskisJournal title: Managerial FinanceArticle title: Does valuation uncertainty benefit acquirers or targets?DOI: 10.1108/MF-10-2022-0470Volume: 50 / Issue: 2 / First page: 329 / Year: 2024Contributors: Paweł Wnuczak, Dmytro OsiichukJournal title: Journal of Management and GovernanceArticle title: The effect of interlocking directorates on mergers and acquisitions in BrazilDOI: 10.1007/s10997-020-09529-7Volume: 25 / Issue: 3 / First page: 811 / Year: 2021Contributors: Thiago de Sousa Barros, Julián Cárdenas, Wesley Mendes-Da-SilvaJournal title: Academia Revista Latinoamericana de AdministraciónArticle title: Brazilian Natura & Co: creating cosmetic powerhouse. Empirical evidence of competence-based synergies in M&A processesDOI: 10.1108/ARLA-03-2020-0047Volume: 34 / Issue: 1 / First page: 18 / Year: 2020Contributors: Andrejs čirjevskis
- 2607 Views
-
2720 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License
The purpose of the current paper is to elaborate the model for assessing cumulative synergetic effect in M&A (Mergers and Acquisitions) deals on the basis of a real options approach. The majority of papers on the synergetic effects of M&A deals typically focus on a particular type of synergy, while the current paper proposes a model that accounts for the cumulative simultaneous effect of different types of operating and financial synergies. The methodology of our research is loosely based on Datar-Mathews real option valuation model, which is flexible and intuitive for practitioners. Formulae for assessing eight types of synergy typically arising from M&A deals are developed. They are integrated into a single model to assess their cumulative effect on the M&A deal using a simulation modelling approach. The method was used ex post to find synergy values in two recent M&A deals in the pharmaceutical industry, and produced sound results. The proposed approach to value target companies could be used by firms before an M&A deal in the due diligence process. Using this tool a company can build a bidding strategy and define the maximum premium it can pay for the target.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)G30, G31, G34
-
References36
-
Tables0
-
Figures0
-
- Actavis. (2013). Annual Report, 10-K.
- Actavis Investor Presentation. (2014). Creating the most dynamic company in “Growth Pharma”, November 1, 2014.
- Allergan. (2013). Annual Report, 10-K.
- André, P., and Yen, T. (2007). Ownership structure and operating performance of acquiring firms: The case of English-origin countries. Journal of Economics and Business, 59(5), 380-405.
- Armstrong, M., Galli, A., Bailey, W., and Couët, B. (2004). Incorporating technical uncertainty in real option valuation of oil projects. Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering, 44(1-2), 67-82.
- Baldi, F., and Trigeorgis, L. (2009). Assessing the value of growth option synergies from business combinations and testing for goodwill impairment. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 21(4), 115-124.
- Basmah, A. Q., and Rahatullah, M. K. (2013). Financial synergy in mergers and acquisitions in Saudi Arabia, Finance – Challenges of the Future Yea, XIII(15), 181-192.
- Bena J., and Li, K. (2014). Corporate innovations and mergers and acquisitions. Journal of Finance, LXIX(5), 1923-1960.
- Black, F. and Scholes M. (1973). The pricing of options and corporate liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 637-654.
- Boyle, P. P. (1977). Options: A Monte Carlo approach. Journal of Financial Economics, 4(3), 323-338.
- Brandão, L. E., Dyer, J. S., and Warren J. H. (2005). Using binomial decision trees to solve real-option valuation problems. Decision Analysis, 2(2), 69-88.
- Bruner, R. F. (2004). Applied mergers and acquisitions. Hoboken, NJ: J. Wiley.
- Clayton, C., Alton, R., and Rising, C. (2011). The big idea: The new M&A playbook. Harvard Business Review, March.
- Collan, M., Fullér, R., and Mezei, J. (2016). A fuzzy pay-off method for real option valuation. Journal of Applied Mathematics and Decision Sciences, 2009, 1-14.
- Cox, J. C., Ross, S. A., and Rubinstein, M. (1979). Option pricing: A simplified approach, Journal of Financial Economics, 7(3), 229-263.
- Damodaran, A. (2005). The value of synergy (working paper), New York: Stern School of Business.
- DePamphilis, D. (2010). Mergers, acquisitions and other restructuring activities. Burlington: Academic Press Advanced Finance Series.
- Devos, E., Kadapakkam, P. R., and Krishnamurthy, S. (2009). How do mergers create value? A comparison of taxes, market power, and efficiency improvements as explanations for synergies. Review of Financial Studies, 22(3), 1179-1211.
- Dixit, A. K., and Pendyck, R. S. (1994). Investment under uncertainty. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
- Ernst & Young. (2014). The right combination: Managing integration for deal success. Refrieved from www.ey.com (accessed 16 November 2016).
- Ficery, K., Herd, T., and Pursche, B. (2007). Where has all the synergy gone? The M&A Puzzle. Journal of Business Strategy, 28(5), 29-35.
- Ghosh, A. (2001). Does operating performance really improve following corporate acquisitions? Journal of Corporate Finance, 7(2), 151-178.
- Halkos, G. E, and Tzeremes, N. G. (2013). Estimating the degree of operating efficiency gains from a potential bank merger and acquisition: A DEA bootstrapped approach. Journal of Banking & Finance, 37, 1658-1668.
- Hamza, T., Schaier, A., and Thraya, M. H. (2016). How do takeovers create synergies? Evidence from France. Studies in Business and Economics, 11(1), 54-72.
- Hospira. (2014). Annual Report, 10-K.
- Kirchhoff, M., and Schiereck, D. (2011). Determinants of M&A success in the pharmaceutical and biotechnological industry. IUP Journal of Business Strategy, VIII(1), 25-50.
- Kruse, T., Hun, Y., Kwangwoo, P., and Suzuki, K. (2007). Long-term performance following mergers of Japanese companies: The effect of diversification and affiliation. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 15, 154-172.
- Mathews, S., Vinay, D., and Johnson, B. (2007). A practical method for valuing real options: The Boeing approach. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 19(2), 95-104.
- Mohanty, L., & Das, B. (2015). Pre- and post-merger financial analysis of industry-wise firms in India: An empirical study. XIMB Journal of Management, 12(II), 75-94.
- Pfizer. (2014). Annual Report, 10-K.
- Pfizer Investor Presentation. (2015). Acquisition of Hospira, February 5, 2015.
- Samis, M., and David, G. A. (2014). Using Monte Carlo simulation with DCF and real options risk pricing techniques to analyse a mine financing proposal. International Journal of Financial Engineering and Risk Management, 1(3), 264-281.
- Sehleanu, M. (2015). Creating or destroying value through mergers and acquisitions? Annals of the University of Oradea. Economic Science Series, 24(1), 593-600.
- Wang, C., and Fei, X. (2009). Corporate governance transfer and synergistic gains from mergers and acquisitions. Review of Financial Studies, 22(2), 829-858.
- Weber, Y., Tarba, S. Y., and Sandquist Oberg, C. (2014). A comprehensive guide to mergers & acquisitions. Upper Saddle River, NJ: FT Press.
- Wilmer Hale. (2016). 2016 M&A Report. Refrieved from https://www.wilmerhale.com (accessed 10 November 2016).
-
Managerial decisions and accounting performance following mergers in Greece
Panagiotis Pantelidis , Michail Pazarskis , George Drogalas , Stavroula Zezou doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.15(1).2018.22Investment Management and Financial Innovations Volume 15, 2018 Issue #1 pp. 263-276 Views: 1440 Downloads: 192 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯAn investigation was conducted to study a sample of 23 Greek firms listed on the Athens Stock Exchange that underwent mergers from 2011 to 2015, which is a period that embodies the Greek economic crisis. For the investigation, the authors use statistical tests to explore relative changes at twenty accounting ratios of the sample firms. These ratios are computed for one year before and after the merger. These ratios are found to be statistically insignificant indicating firms do not experience a post-merger improvement in accounting performance. The authors also examine six qualitative variables representing merger characteristics as past managerial decisions. Important findings for these characteristics include the following. First, for companies that do not fall under the same production line, the researchers observe an improvement for three ratios: collection period ratio, return on total assets, and profit or loss before tax. Thus, liquidity and profitability are improved. Second, when companies merged with their subsidiaries, the authors discover significant improvement for two ratios: gross margin and collection period ratio. In brief, positive results are found for mergers with subsidiaries and negative results with others. Third, the payment method influences two ratios, the current ratio and the stock turnover ratio. The current ratio is affected positively for the transactions in cash and negatively for the transactions in shares, while the stock turnover ratio is affected negatively for cash transactions and positively for share transactions.
-
Investment evaluation in renewable projects under uncertainty, using real options analysis: the case of wind power industry
Ioannis Kinias , Ioannis Tsakalos , Nikolaos Konstantopoulos doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.14(1).2017.10Investment Management and Financial Innovations Volume 14, 2017 Issue #1 pp. 96-103 Views: 1436 Downloads: 1092 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯInvestment analysis is a crucial process for any investment’s success. This process can be supported by both the discounted cash flow analysis and the real options analysis. Many researchers have point out restrictions for the first one, in cases of uncertainty in the entrepreneurial environment. The main types of uncertainty, concerning the wind energy sector, include uncertainties related to the price of electriticity by RES, the public policy regulatory policies, the demand, the initial capital costs, the technological progress, the weather conditions, the political and economical situations and generally the RES market structure. In this paper, we try to find the optimal investment strategy in a liberalized global electricity market, where the price of electricity is uncertain while the other parameters are configured separately in each country. The authors consider about the factors of the time for investment and the electricity’s price level, in wind energy by using the real options theory. The authors select a variety of data for the wind energy industry from different countries in several continents, and also create a model for the investment analysis in this entrepreneurial sector.
-
Impact of corporate restructuring on the financial performance of commercial banks in Nigeria
Lawrence Uchenna Okoye , Alexander Ehimare Omankhanlen , Johnson I. Okoh , Felix N. Ezeji , Esther Ibileke doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.15(1).2020.05Banks and Bank Systems Volume 15, 2020 Issue #1 pp. 42-50 Views: 1428 Downloads: 385 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯThe implementation of the 2004–2005 bank capital reform in Nigeria, introduced to deepen the financial capacity of the banking system, has led to a major restructuring of the banking sector. The reform required banks to increase their equity capital by about 1150 per cent (from two billion to twenty-five billion naira) within 18 months. Due to compliance challenges, the reform formed just twenty-five out of eighty-nine banks that previously existed. More than seventy-five per cent of the banks emerged through mergers and acquisitions. However, despite the massive increase in assets and deposit growth, episodes of bank distress have remained a recurring irritant in the country’s financial system. This study compares bank performance in the pre- and post-reform periods to determine the usefulness or efficacy of the capital reform in boosting bank performance based on panel analysis of data from five banks. The study covered the period 1996–2016. The generalized method of moments was used to evaluate the parameters of the model. The result of the random effects model shows a weak positive effect of total assets and deposit growth on bank performance in the pre-reform period. However, the post-reform assessment reveals that while profitability is significantly low in large-sized banks, it is higher in smaller banks. Given the above evidence, the study asserts that profit performance of banks is substantially linked to restructuring of the sector.