The January barometer in emerging markets: new evidence from the Gulf Cooperation Council stock exchanges
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Received September 23, 2019;Accepted November 13, 2019;Published November 26, 2019
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DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.16(4).2019.06
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Article InfoVolume 16 2019, Issue #4, pp. 61-71
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Cited by3 articlesJournal title:Article title:DOI:Volume: / Issue: / First page: / Year:Contributors:Journal title: International Journal of Business and Management ResearchArticle title: Financial Markets are Not Efficient: Financial Literacy as an Effective Risk Management ToolDOI: 10.37391/IJBMR.090110Volume: 9 / Issue: 1 / First page: 65 / Year: 2021Contributors: Costas SiriopoulosJournal title: Journal of Risk and Financial ManagementArticle title: Exploring Calendar Anomalies and Volatility Dynamics in Cryptocurrencies: A Comparative Analysis of Day-of-the-Week Effects before and during the COVID-19 PandemicDOI: 10.3390/jrfm17080351Volume: 17 / Issue: 8 / First page: 351 / Year: 2024Contributors: Sonal Sahu, Alejandro Fonseca Ramírez, Jong-Min Kim
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International investors’ interest in the capital markets in the region of Gulf countries has dramatically increased in last two decades. Thus, it would be motivating to investigate their characteristics, where the January anomaly is a major one. This paper studies the veracity of the January effect rule in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets and examines the predictive power of January returns. Seven GCC stock markets are tested – the market indices in Bahrain, Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia – from January 1, 2001 until December 31, 2018, a timeframe which has rarely been analyzed. Ordinary least square (OLS)-based dummy variable regression equation was used as the conventional econometric procedure in the works of financial calendar anomalies in stock markets. Some evidence is reported for the markets of Dubai and Kuwait. The paper also provides an additional explanation for the performance of stock market of Kuwait. The findings are opposite to the well documented evidence that emerging markets are less efficient and hence it is likely that several market anomalies are further pronounced. The results suggest that the predictive power of the January anomaly can be considered as a temporary anomaly in the GCC markets, since it is concentrated in only a couple of GCC markets and does not persist in time.
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JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)G10, G14, G15
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References43
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Tables4
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Figures1
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- Figure 1. GCC market performance for the period 2000–2018
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- Table 1. Descriptive statistics
- Table 2. Monthly returns on closing prices of GCC market indices (2000–2018)
- Table 3. Correlation structure in the GCC stock markets
- Table 4. Estimated parameters
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Semi-monthly effect in stock returns: new evidence from Bombay Stock Exchange
Shakila B. , Prakash Pinto , Iqbal Thonse Hawaldar doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.14(3-1).2017.01Investment Management and Financial Innovations Volume 14, 2017 Issue #3 pp. 160-172 Views: 2627 Downloads: 776 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯSemi-monthly effect is a kind of calendar anomalies which is less explored in the financial literature. The main objective of this paper to investigate the presence of semi-monthly effect in selected sectoral indices of Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The study uses the daily stock returns of five sectoral indices viz S&P BSE Auto Index, S&P BSE Bankex, S&P BSE Consumer Durables Index, S&P BSE FMCG Index and S&P BSE Health Care Index for the period of 10 years starting from 1st April 2007 to 31st March 2017. The data were analyzed using two approaches namely calendar days approach and trading days approach. To test the equality of mean returns for the two halves of the month, Mann-Whitney U test is used. The empirical results of the study did not provide any evidence for the presence of semi-monthly effect in the selected sectoral indices. Nevertheless, BSE Auto Index showed significant difference in the mean returns of first half and second half of trading month during the study period.
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Bank-specific vs. macro-economic factors: what drives profitability of commercial banks in Saudi Arabia
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Calendar anomalies in the Ukrainian stock market
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