The impact of liquidity on common stocks returns: Empirical insights from commercial banks in Nepal
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.19(1).2024.13
-
Article InfoVolume 19 2024, Issue #1, pp. 148-156
- 389 Views
-
136 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Most developed and emerging economies pay substantial attention to liquidity to understand stock return behavior. However, there is a need for more focus on understanding the impact of such factors on stock returns in developing countries such as Nepal. This study aims to examine the effect of liquidity, size, financial and asset risk, growth potential, and profitability on stock returns in Nepalese commercial banks. A pooled ordinary least squares regression model is utilized, employing data from the Central Bank of Nepal and the Nepal Stock Exchange. There are 249 observations in the data set, which covers the period from 2009/10 to 2019/20. The model considers the impact of trading volume, market capitalization, book-to-market ratio, asset growth, and return on asset on stock returns in Nepalese commercial banks. The results indicate that trading volume, a proxy of liquidity, positively affects stock returns in Nepalese commercial banks. The finding reveals that when other variables are held constant, a 0.288 percent increase in stock returns is expected for a one percent rise in trading volume. However, asset growth and return on assets show a weakly favorable link with stock returns in Nepal. Conversely, the research findings suggest an insignificant inverse correlation between book-to-market and stock returns. A decrease in stock returns of 0.307 percent is expected for a one percent increase in the book-to-market ratio. Similarly, market capitalization has a negligible effect on stock returns in Nepal.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)G00, G12, G21
-
References42
-
Tables4
-
Figures0
-
- Table 1. Portfolio sorting based on stock returns
- Table 2. Descriptive statistics
- Table 3. Correlation matrix
- Table 4. Estimated regression outcomes of trading volume, market capitalization, book-to-market ratio, asset growth, and ROA on stock returns
-
- Aharoni, G., Grundy, B., & Zeng, Q. (2013). Stock returns and the Modigliani valuation formula: Revisiting the Fama French analysis. Journal of Financial Economics, 110(2), 347-357.
- Al-Malkawi, H. N., Alshiab, M. S., & Pillai, R. (2018). The impact of company fundamentals on common stock prices: Evidence from MENA region. The Business and Management Review, 9(4), 162-172.
- Banz, R. W. (1981). The relationship between return and market value of common stock. Journal of Financial Economics, 9(1), 3-18.
- Barrow, R. J. (1990). The stock market and investment. The Review of Financial Studies, 3(1), 115-131.
- Blazenko, G. W., & Fu, Y. (2013). Value versus growth in dynamic equity investing. Managerial Finance, 39(3), 272-305.
- Brigham, E. F., & Daves, P. R. (2018). Intermediate financial management. Cenegage Learning.
- Chan, L. K. C., Hamao, Y., & Lakonishok, J. (1991). Fundamentals and stock returns in Japan. The Journal of Finance, 46(5), 1739-1764.
- Chen, G. M., Firth, M., & Rui, O. M. (2001). The dynamic relation between stock returns, trading volume, and volatility. Financial Review, 36(3), 153-174.
- Chen, S.-S. (2012). Revisiting the empirical linkages between stock returns and trading volume. Journal of Banking & Finance, 36(6), 1781-1788.
- Chiah, M., Chai, D., Zhong, A., & Li, S. (2016). A better model? An empirical investigation of the Fama-French five-factor model in Australia. International Review of Finance, 16(4), 595-638.
- Constantinou, G., Karali, A., & Papanastasopoulos, G. (2017). Asset growth and the cross section of stock returns: Evidence from Greek listed firms. Management Decision, 55(5), 826-841.
- Cooper, M. J., Gulen, H., & Schill, M. J. (2008). Asset growth and the cross-section of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 63(4), 1609-1651.
- Cox, S., & Willows, G. D. (2017). Return prediction in small capitalization companies on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 14(2), 316-327.
- Dangol, J., & Acharya, B. (2020). The effect of firm-specific variables on stock returns on Nepalese banks. Journal of Balkumari College, 9(1), 1-12.
- Datar, V. T., Naik, N., & Radcliffe, R. (1998). Liquidity and stock returns: An alternative test. Journal of Financial Markets, 1(2), 203-219.
- Davis, J. L. (1994). The cross-section of realized stock returns: The pre-COMPUSTAT evidence. The Journal of Finance, 49(5), 1579-1593.
- Dichev, I. D. (1998). Is the risk of bankruptcy a systematic risk? The Journal of Finance, 53(3), 1131-1147.
- Dodonova, A. (2016). Variability of realized stock returns and trading volume. Applied Economics Letters, 23(9), 674-677.
- Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1992). The cross-section of expected stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(2), 427-465.
- Gautam, R. (2017). Impact of firm-specific variables on stock price volatility and stock returns of Nepalese commercial banks. International Journal of Research in Business Studies and Management, 4(6), 33-44.
- Gebka, B., & Wohar, M. E. (2013). Causality between trading volume and returns: Evidence from quantile regressions. International Review of Economics & Finance, 27, 144-159.
- George, J. T., & Hwang, C. Y. (2010). A resolution of the distress risk and leverage puzzles in the cross-section of stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 96(1), 56-79.
- Hasbrouck, J. (2007). Empirical market microstructure: The institutions, economic, and econometrics of securities trading. Oxford University Press.
- Kao, Y. S., Chuang, H. L., & Ku, Y. C. (2020). The empirical linkages among market returns, return volatility, and trading volume: Evidence from the S&P 500 VIX futures. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 54, 100871.
- Karpoff, J. M. (1987). The relation between price changes and trading volume: A survey. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 22(1), 109-126.
- Khatri Chhetri, K. (2019). Explaining cross-section of stock return: A comparative analysis of listed financial and non-financial firms in Nepal. International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, 9(11), 592-599.
- Kim, D. (1997). A reexamination of firm size, book-to-market, and earnings price in the cross-section of expected returns. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 32(4), 463-489.
- Lamichhane, P. (2018). Firm fundamentals and stock return in Nepal. International Journal of Innovative Research in Science, Engineering, and Technology, 7(8), 8992-9000.
- Ma, Y., Yang, B., & Su, Y. (2021). Stock return predictability: Evidence from moving averages of trading volume. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 65, 101494.
- Narayan, P., & Reddy, Y. V. (2017). Exploring the causal relationship between stock returns, volume, and turnover across sectoral indices in Indian stock markets. Metamorphosis: A Journal of Management Research, 16(2), 122-140.
- Nguyen, G. X., Prombutr, W., Phengpis, C., & Swanson, P. E. (2019). Relative efficiency, industry concentration, and average stock returns. Studies in Economics and Finance, 36(1), 63-82.
- Nichol, E., & Dowling, M. (2014). Profitability and investment factors for UK asset pricing models. Economic Letters, 125(3), 364-366.
- Poudel, R. B., & Shrestha, S. R. (2019). Stock return and trading volume relation in Nepalese stock market: An ADRL approach. SEBON Journal, 7, 17-31.
- Pradhan, R. S. (2014). The cross-section of expected stock returns in Nepal. SSRN Electronic Journal.
- Rose, P. S. (2002). Commercial bank management. McGraw-Hill.
- Rose, P. S., & Marquis, M. H. (2008). Money and capital markets: Financial institutions and instruments in a global marketplace (10th ed.). McGraw-Hill.
- Shrestha, S. R. (2018). Stock return and trading volume relation in Nepalese stock market: An ADRL approach. Journal of Poverty, Investment, and Development, 46, 47-56.
- Tahir, S. H., Sabir, H. M., Alam, T., & Ismail, A. (2013). Impact of firm’s characteristics on stock return: A case of non-financial listed companies in Pakistan. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 3(1), 51-61.
- Taussig, R. D. (2021). Size, size potential, and expected stock returns. Journal of Corporate Accounting & Finance, 32(4), 27-30.
- Titko, J., Skvarciany, V., & Jureviciene, D. (2015). Drivers of bank profitability: Case of Latvia and Lithuania. Intellectual Economics, 9(2), 120-129.
- Vasishth, V., Sehgal, S., & Sharma, G. (2021). Size effect in the Indian equity market: Myth or reality. Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, 28(1), 101-119.
- Ye, J., & Li, W. (2013). Limits-to-arbitrage and asset growth anomaly in Chinese stock market. Nankai Business Review International, 4(3), 199-211.