Impact of non-interest income and revenue concentration on bank risk in South Asia
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.15(4).2020.02
-
Article InfoVolume 15 2020, Issue #4, pp. 15-25
- Cited by
- 1082 Views
-
1401 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Banks not only rely on the traditional way of generating income, they also opt for non-interest income (NII) to survive in a competitive environment. Banks in South Asia are diversifying their income from interest to non-interest sources in order to reduce risk and generate high returns. This study examines the impact of non-interest income (NII) and revenue concentration on banks’ risk in South Asian countries such as Pakistan, Sri Lanka, India and Bangladesh. Panel data for eighty-five banks from 2009 to 2018 is used. Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) is employed to analyze the data. The study finds that non-interest source income and revenue concentration significantly affect bank risk in the overall analysis. The study finds different results depending on the regulations and application of the regulatory system in each country. Non-interest income reveals a significant impact on bank risk for Pakistan, India and Bangladesh, but insignificant for Si Lanka. Revenue concentration has a significant effect on bank risk in Pakistan and India, however, it does not affect bank risk in Sri Lanka and Bangladesh. This study recommends that bank managers focus on different sources of revenue generation in order to minimize their level of risk through a diversification strategy to enhance efficiency. This study contributes to the banking sector literature of South Asian markets.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)G21, G30
-
References63
-
Tables5
-
Figures0
-
- Table 1. Measurement of variables
- Table 2. Descriptive statistics and correlation analysis
- Table 3. Multicollinearity test
- Table 4. Two-step dynamic panel regression
- Table 5. Country-wise analysis
-
- Abdullah, N., & Tan, Y. (2017). Profitability of Commercial Banks revisited: New Evidence from oil and non-oil exporting countries in the MENA region. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 14(3), 62-73.
- Acharya, V. V., Hasan, I., & Saunders, A. (2006). Should banks be diversified? Evidence from individual bank loan portfolios. The Journal of Business, 79(3), 1355-1412.
- Aggarwal, R., & Jacques, K. T. (1998). Assessing the impact of prompt corrective action on bank capital and risk. Economic Policy Review, 4(3), 23-32.
- Alizadeh, S., Brandt, M. W., & Diebold, F. X. (2002). Range-based estimation of stochastic volatility models. The Journal of Finance, 57(3), 1047-1091.
- Allen, F., & Santomero, A. M. (2001). What do financial intermediaries do? Journal of Banking & Finance, 25(2), 271-294.
- Altunbas, Y., Carbo, S., Gardener, E. P., & Molyneux, P. (2007). Examining the relationships between capital, risk and efficiency in European banking. European Financial Management, 13(1), 49-70.
- Amidu, M., & Wolfe, S. (2013). Does bank competition and diversification lead to greater stability? Evidence from emerging markets. Review of Development Finance, 3(3), 152-166.
- Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297.
- Arellano, M., & Bover, O. (1995). Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models. Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), 29-51.
- Ashraf, B., Arshad, S., & Hu, Y. (2016). Capital regulation and bank risk-taking behavior: evidence from Pakistan. International Journal of Financial Studies, 4(3), 16.
- Baele, L., De Jonghe, O., & Vennet, R. V. (2007). Does the stock market value bank diversification? Journal of Banking & Finance, 31(7), 1999-2023.
- Barth, J. R., Caprio G., & Levine, R. (2004). Bank regulation and supervision: What works best? Journal of Financial Intermediation, 13(2), 205-248.
- Berger, A. N., Hasan, I., & Zhou, M. (2010). The effects of focus versus diversification on bank performance: Evidence from Chinese banks. Journal of Banking & Finance, 34(7), 1417-1435.
- Blum, J. (1999). Do capital adequacy requirements reduce risks in banking? Journal of Banking & Finance, 23(5), 755-771.
- Boot, A. W., & Schmeits, A. (2000). Market discipline and incentive problems in conglomerate firms with applications to banking. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 9(3), 240-273.
- Boubaker, S., & Nguyen, D. K. (2014). Corporate governance in emerging markets. Springer.
- Brunnermeier, M. K., Dong G. N., & Palia, D. (2012). Banks’ Non-Interest Income and Systemic Risk (AFA 2012 Chicago Meetings Paper). Princeton University.
- Chen, Y. K., Ho, A. Y.-F., & Hsu, C. L. (2014). Are Bank Capital Buffers Cyclical? Evidence for Developed and Developing Countries. Journal of Financial Studies, 22(3), 27-56.
- Chen, Z., Liu, F. H., Opong, K., & Zhou, M. (2017). Short-term safety or long-term failure? Empirical evidence of the impact of securitization on bank risk. Journal of International Money and Finance, 72, 48-74.
- De Haan, J., & Poghosyan, T. (2012). Size and earnings volatility of US bank holding companies. Journal of Banking and Finance, 36(11), 3008-3016.
- De Jonghe, O. (2010). Back to the basics in banking? A micro-analysis of banking system stability. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 19(3), 387-417.
- Deesomsak, R., Paudyal, K., & Pescetto, G. (2004). The determinants of capital structure: Evidence from the Asia Pacific region. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 14(4/5), 387-405.
- Demsetz, R. S., & Strahan, P. E. (1997). Diversification, size, and risk at bank holding companies. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 29(3), 300-313.
- DeYoung, R., & Rice, T. (2004). Noninterest income and financial performance at US commercial banks. Financial Review, 39(1), 101-127.
- DeYoung, R., & Roland, K. P. (2001). Product mix and earnings volatility at commercial banks: Evidence from a degree of total leverage model. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 10(1), 54-84.
- DeYoung, R., & Torna, G. (2013). Nontraditional banking activities and bank failures during the financial crisis. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 22(3), 397-421.
- Doumpos, M., Gaganis, C., & Pasiouras, F. (2016). Bank diversification and overall financial strength: International evidence. Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, 25(3), 169-213.
- Elsas, R., Hackethal, A., & Holzhauser, M. (2010). The anatomy of bank diversification. Journal of Banking & Finance, 34(6), 1274-1287.
- Esho, N., Kofman, P., & Sharpe, I. G. (2005). Diversification, fee income, and credit union risk. Journal of Financial Services Research, 27(3), 259-281.
- Fiordelisi, F., Marques-Ibanez, D., & Molyneux, P. (2011). Efficiency and risk in European banking. Journal of Banking & Finance, 35(5), 1315-1326.
- Foos, D., Norden, L., & Weber, M. (2010). Loan growth and riskiness of banks. Journal of Banking and Finance, 34(12), 2929-2940.
- Gurbuz, A. O., Yanik, S., & Ayturk, Y. (2013). Income diversification and bank performance: Evidence from Turkish banking sector. Journal of BRSA Banking and Financial Markets, 7(1), 9-29.
- Gutierrez-Lopez, C., & Abad-Gonzalez, J. (2020). Sustainability in the Banking Sector: A Predictive Model for the European Banking Union in the Aftermath of the Financial Crisis. Sustainability, 12(6), 2566.
- Haq, M., & Heaney, R. (2012). Factors determining European bank risk. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 22(4), 696-718.
- Hidayat, W. Y., Kakinaka, M., & Miyamoto, H. (2012). Bank risk and non-interest income activities in the Indonesian banking industry. Journal of Asian Economics, 23(4), 335-343.
- Hsieh, M. F., Chen, P. F., Lee, C. C., & Yang, S. J. (2013). How does diversification impact bank stability? The role of globalization, regulations, and governance environments. Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies, 42(5), 813-844.
- Huang, L. W., & Chen, Y. K. (2006). Does Bank Performance Benefit from Non-traditional Activities? A Case of Non-interest Incomes in Taiwan Commercial Banks. Asian Journal of Management and Humanity Sciences, 1(3), 359-378.
- Hunjra, A. I., Hanif, M., Mehmood, R., & Nguyen, L. V. (2020a). Diversification, corporate governance, regulation and bank risk-taking. Journal of Financial Reporting and Accounting, 18(3).
- Hunjra, A. I., Mehmood, R., & Tayachi, T. (2020b). How Do Corporate Social Responsibility and Corporate Governance Affect Stock Price Crash Risk? Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 13(2), 30.
- Hunjra, A. I., Zureigat, Q., & Mehmood, R. (2020c). Impact of capital regulation and market discipline on capital ratio selection: A cross country study. International Journal of Financial Studies, 8(2), 21.
- Jensen, M. C., & Meckling, W. H., (1976). Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs, and capital structure. In K. Brunner (Ed.), Economics Social Institutions. Rochester Studies in Economics and Policy Issues (Vol. 1). Springer, Dordrecht.
- Kashif, M., Iftikhar, S. F., & Iftikhar, K. (2016). Loan growth and bank solvency: evidence from the Pakistani banking sector. Financial Innovation, 2(1), 22.
- Konishi, M., & Yasuda, Y. (2004). Factors affecting bank risk taking: Evidence from Japan. Journal of Banking & Finance, 28(1), 215-232.
- Kwan, S., & Eisenbeis, R. A. (1997). Bank risk, capitalization, and operating efficiency. Journal of Financial Services Research, 12(2-3), 117-131.
- Lee, C. C., Yang, S. J., & Chang, C. H. (2014). Non-interest income, profitability, and risk in banking industry: A cross-country analysis. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 27, 48-67.
- Lepetit, L., Nys, E., Rous, P., & Tarazi, A. (2008). The expansion of services in European banking: Implications for loan pricing and interest margins. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(11), 2325-2335.
- Maji, S. G., & De, U. K. (2015). Regulatory capital and risk of Indian banks: a simultaneous equation approach. Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 7(2), 140-156.
- Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. The Journal of Finance 7(1), 77-91.
- Maudos, J. (2017). Income structure, profitability and risk in the European banking sector: The impact of the crisis. Research in International Business and Finance, 39(A), 85-101.
- Mehmood, R., Hunjra, A. I., & Chani, M. I. (2019). The Impact of Corporate Diversification and Financial Structure on Firm Performance: Evidence from South Asian Countries. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 12(1), 49.
- Nisar, S., Peng, K., Wang, S., & Ashraf, B. (2018). The impact of revenue diversification on bank profitability and stability: Empirical evidence from South Asian countries. International Journal of Financial Studies, 6(2), 40.
- Nisar, S., Susheng, W., Jaleel, A., & Ke, P. (2015). Determinants of bank’s profitability in Pakistan: A latest panel data evidence. International Journal of Economics, Commerce and Management, 3(4), 1-16.
- Rashid, A., & Khalid, M. (2018). An Assessment of Bank Capital Effects On Bank-Risk-Taking In Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, 28(2), 213-234.
- Rime, B. (2001). Capital requirements and bank behavior: Empirical evidence for Switzerland. Journal of Banking & Finance, 25(4), 789-805.
- Sanya, S., & Wolfe, S. (2011). Can banks in emerging economies benefit from revenue diversification? Journal of Financial Services Research, 40(1-2), 79-101.
- Shan, Y. G. (2015). Value relevance, earnings management and corporate governance in China. Emerging Markets Review, 23, 186-207.
- Shrieves, R. E., & Dahl, D. (1992). The relationship between risk and capital in commercial banks. Journal of Banking & Finance, 16(2), 439-457.
- Stiroh, K. J. (2006). A portfolio view of banking with interest and noninterest activities. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 38(5), 1351-1361.
- Stiroh, K. J., & Rumble, A. (2006). The dark side of diversification: The case of US financial holding companies. Journal of banking and finance, 30(8), 2131-2161.
- Williams, B. (2014). Bank risk and national governance in Asia. Journal of Banking and Finance, 49, 10-26.
- Williams, B. (2016). The impact of non-interest income on bank risk in Australia. Journal of Banking and Finance, 73, 16-37.
- World Bank. (2016). South Asia Economic Focus, Spring 2016: Fading Tailwinds. Washington: World Bank.
- Yao, H., Haris, M., & Tariq, G. (2018). Profitability determinants of financial institutions: evidence from banks in Pakistan. International Journal of Financial Studies, 6(2), 53.