AI-driven eco-routing and tourist behavior modeling for sustainable destination marketing

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Type of the article: Research Article

 Abstract
The growing pressure on tourism systems caused by overtourism, environmental degradation, and uneven spatial distribu-tion of tourist flows highlights the need for adaptive and sustainability-oriented management approaches. This study develops and tests an AI-driven eco-routing and tourist behavior modelling framework (ER-TBM) as a choice-architecture tool for sustainable destination marketing. The framework combines a fixed graph representation of a synthetic destination, Markov decision states, tabular Q-learning, and congestion-sensitive recommendations. To address reproducibility, the benchmark specifies ten points of interest, 22 undirected edges, all edge attributes, tourist preference and fatigue distributions, Poisson arrivals, recommendation compliance, congestion and emission functions, training settings, stopping rules, and random seeds. Five baselines and ER-TBM were evaluated under normal, peak, and event-demand conditions using 30 paired independent runs per scenario with 120, 180, and 240 agents, respectively. Relative to Dijkstra routing, ER-TBM reduced mean congestion exposure by 5.1-5.3% and increased tourist utility by 0.6-0.7%, while mean CO2 remained statistically indistinguishable and monetary route cost was 9.4-9.8% higher. The simulation-based Tourism Sustainability Index ranged from 0.712 to 0.732 for ER-TBM and did not show practically meaningful superiority over optimized baselines. The findings indicate that behavior-aware eco-routing can redistribute simulated visitor flows without a statistically significant increase in emissions, although this benefit is accompanied by higher monetary route costs. From a sustainable destination marketing perspective, the proposed framework represents a computational choice-architecture proposition. Its potential to influence actual tourist behavior, recommendation acceptance, destination image, satisfaction, and revisit intention requires further field-based validation.

Acknowledgment
The research was conducted within the framework of the prospective development plan for the scientific field “Social Sci-ences” No. BF/25-2026 on the topic “Formation of a Competitive Development Model for the Ukrainian Economy: Human Capital, Financial Stability, and the Development of Innovative Industries amid War-Related Challenges and the Emergence of the Sixth Technological Paradigm”.

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    • Figure 1. The proposed AI-driven Eco-Routing and Tourist Behavior Modeling (ER-TBM) architecture
    • Figure 2. State, action, transition, and reward structure of the MDP implemented in the ER-TBM benchmark
    • Figure 3. Closed-loop ER-TBM evaluation cycle with direct environmental feedback and tabular Q-learning
    • Figure 4. Conceptual illustration of Agent-based simulation environment for evaluating the ER-TBM framework
    • Table 1. Critical review of related studies
    • Table 2. Specified simulation and evaluation parameters
    • Table 3. Pooled performance across demand scenarios (mean [95% CI])
    • Table 4. Scenario-based performance comparison (mean [95% CI])
    • Table 5. Paired ER-TBM differences relative to Dijkstra
    • Table 6. Positioning of the proposed framework within existing research
    • Table A1. POI attributes
    • Table A2. Exact undirected edge attributes
    • Conceptualization
      Valeriia Kostynets, Fedir Zhuravka, Anton Grytsenko
    • Funding acquisition
      Valeriia Kostynets, Anton Grytsenko
    • Investigation
      Valeriia Kostynets, Оleksandr Mosin, Nataliya Strochenko, Maxim Korneyev
    • Methodology
      Valeriia Kostynets, Fedir Zhuravka, Оleksandr Mosin, Yelyzaveta Saihak
    • Validation
      Valeriia Kostynets, Оleksandr Mosin
    • Visualization
      Valeriia Kostynets, Yelyzaveta Saihak, Nataliya Strochenko, Maxim Korneyev
    • Writing – original draft
      Valeriia Kostynets, Оleksandr Mosin, Yelyzaveta Saihak, Nataliya Strochenko
    • Formal Analysis
      Fedir Zhuravka, Оleksandr Mosin, Yelyzaveta Saihak, Nataliya Strochenko, Maxim Korneyev
    • Project administration
      Fedir Zhuravka, Anton Grytsenko
    • Supervision
      Fedir Zhuravka, Оleksandr Mosin, Anton Grytsenko, Maxim Korneyev
    • Writing – review & editing
      Fedir Zhuravka, Anton Grytsenko, Maxim Korneyev
    • Data curation
      Оleksandr Mosin, Nataliya Strochenko, Maxim Korneyev
    • Software
      Оleksandr Mosin, Yelyzaveta Saihak, Nataliya Strochenko
    • Resources
      Nataliya Strochenko, Maxim Korneyev