Does commodity exposure benefit traditional portfolios? Evidence from India
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.20(4).2023.04
-
Article InfoVolume 20 2023, Issue #4, pp. 36-49
- 313 Views
-
159 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Commodities and commodity futures are expected to benefit stock and bond portfolio diversification because traditional asset types like equities and bonds have low correlations with commodities. During periods when stocks and bonds may underperform, commodities may provide a hedge against inflation and other economic uncertainties. This study investigates the diversification benefits of adding commodities to a traditional portfolio of stock and bonds from the perspective of an Indian investor. It employs several commonly used asset allocation strategies such as mean-variance, equal risk contribution, most diversified portfolio, and equal weight portfolio on different commodity derivative groups. The performance of various portfolios indicates that not all commodity groups provide substantial diversification benefits to a traditional portfolio. Agricultural commodities enhance performance (with an Omega ratio of 1.654), whereas metal and energy-related commodities do not diversify the traditional portfolio significantly (Omega ratio of 1.087 and 0.945, respectively). Gold and different equity sectors also provide some diversification benefits. This study also supports the hypothesis that the behavior of different commodity groups is quite different.
Acknowledgment
The infrastructural support provided by the FORE School of Management, New Delhi, in completing this paper is gratefully acknowledged.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)G11, G12
-
References35
-
Tables6
-
Figures0
-
- Table 1. Descriptive statistics
- Table 2. Correlation matrix of asset returns for the full period
- Table 3. Risk and returns of portfolios with different commodity groups
- Table 4. Performance measures of portfolios with different commodity groups
- Table 5. Risk and returns of portfolio with gold, gold futures and equity sectors
- Table 6. Performance measures of portfolios with gold, gold futures, and sectoral equity indices
-
- Abanomey, W. S., & Mathur, I. (1999). The hedging benefits of commodity futures in international portfolio diversification. The Journal of Alternative Investments, 2(3), 51-62.
- Abid, I., Dhaoui, A., Goutte, S., & Guesmi, K. (2020). Hedging and diversification across commodity assets. Applied Economics, 52(23), 2472-2492.
- Adams, Z., & Glück, T. (2015). Financialization in commodity markets: A passing trend or the new normal? Journal of Banking & Finance, 60, 93-111.
- Agyei-Ampomah, S., Gounopoulos, D., & Mazouz, K. (2014). Does gold offer a better protection against losses in sovereign debt bonds than other metals? Journal of Banking & Finance, 40, 507-521.
- Batten, J. A., Szilagyi, P. G., & Wagner, N. F. (2015). Should emerging market investors buy commodities? Applied Economics, 47(39), 4228-4246.
- Bekiros, S., Nguyen, D. K., Uddin, G. S., & Sjö, B. (2016). On the time scale behavior of equity-commodity links: Implications for portfolio management. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 41, 30-46.
- Belousova, J., & Dorfleitner, G. (2012). On the diversification benefits of commodities from the perspective of euro investors. Journal of Banking & Finance, 36(9), 2455-2472.
- Bessler, W., & Wolff, D. (2015). Do commodities add value in multi-asset portfolios? An out-of-sample analysis for different investment strategies. Journal of Banking & Finance, 60, 1-20.
- Bodie, Z., & Rosansky, V. I. (1980). Risk and Return in Commodity Futures. Financial Analysts Journal, 36(3), 27-39.
- Cheung, C. S., & Miu, P. (2010). Diversification benefits of commodity futures. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 20(5), 451-474.
- Choueifaty, Y., & Coignard, Y. (2008). Toward Maximum Diversification. Journal of Portfolio Management, 35(1), 40-51.
- Conover, C. M., Jensen, G. R., Johnson, R. R., & Mercer, J. M. (2010). Is Now the Time to Add Commodities to Your Portfolio? The Journal of Investing, 19(3), 10-19.
- Daigler, R. T., Dupoyet, B., & You, L. (2017). Spicing Up a Portfolio with Commodity Futures: Still a Good Recipe? The Journal of Alternative Investments, 19(4), 8-23.
- Daskalaki, C., Kostakis, A., & Skiadopoulos, G. (2014). Are there common factors in individual commodity futures returns? Journal of Banking & Finance, 40, 346363.
- Daskalaki, C., & Skiadopoulos, G. (2011). Should investors include commodities in their portfolios after all? New evidence. Journal of Banking & Finance, 35(10), 2606-2626.
- DeMiguel, V., Garlappi, L., & Uppal, R. (2009). Optimal Versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient is the 1/N Portfolio Strategy? Review of Financial Studies, 22(5), 1915-1953.
- Erb, C. B., & Harvey, C. R. (2006). The strategic and tactical value of commodity futures. Financial Analysts Journal, 62(2), 69-97.
- Gagnon, M.-H., Manseau, G., & Power, G. J. (2020). They’re back! Post-financialization diversification benefits of commodities. International Review of Financial Analysis, 71, 101515.
- Galvani, V., & Plourde, A. (2010). Portfolio diversification in energy markets. Energy Economics, 32(2), 257-268.
- Gorton, G., & Rouwenhorst, K. G. (2006). Facts and Fantasies about Commodity Futures. Financial Analysts Journal, 62(2), 47-68.
- Hanif, W., Mensi, W., Vo, X. V., BenSaïda, A., Hernandez, J. A., & Kang, S. H. (2023). Dependence and risk management of portfolios of metals and agricultural commodity futures. Resources Policy, 82, 103567.
- Henriksen, T. E. S., Pichler, A., Westgaard, S., & Frydenberg, S. (2019). Can commodities dominate stock and bond portfolios? Annals of Operations Research, 282(1), 155-177.
- Huang, J., & Zhong, Z. (Ken). (2013). Time Variation in Diversification Benefits of Commodity, REITs, and TIPS. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 46(1), 152-192.
- Jensen, G. R., Johnson, R. R., & Mercer, J. M. (2000). Efficient use of commodity futures in diversified portfolios. Journal of Futures Markets, 20(5), 489-506.
- Lean, H. H., Nguyen, D. K., Sensoy, A., & Uddin, G. S. (2023). On the role of commodity futures in portfolio diversification. International Transactions in Operational Research, 30(5), 2374-2394.
- Letho, L., Chelwa, G., & Alhassan, A. L. (2022). Cryptocurrencies and portfolio diversification in an emerging market. China Finance Review International, 12(1), 20-50.
- Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
- Satyanarayan, S., & Varangis, P. (1996). Diversification Benefits of Commodity Assets in Global Portfolios. The Journal of Investing, 5(1), 69-78.
- Shah, A. A., & Dar, A. B. (2021). Exploring diversification opportunities across commodities and financial markets: Evidence from time-frequency based spillovers. Resources Policy, 74, 102317.
- Stoll, H. R., & Whaley, R. E. (2011). Commodity Index Investing: Speculation or Diversification? The Journal of Alternative Investments, 14(1), 50-60.
- Tang, K., & Xiong, W. (2012). Index investment and the financialization of commodities. Financial Analysts Journal, 68(5), 54-74.
- Tiwari, A. K., Abakah, E. J. A., Karikari, N. K., & Hammoudeh, S. (2022). Time-varying dependence dynamics between international commodity prices and Australian industry stock returns: A Perspective for portfolio diversification. Energy Economics, 108, 105891.
- Willenbrock, S. (2011). Diversification Return, Portfolio Rebalancing, and the Commodity Return Puzzle. Financial Analysts Journal, 67(4), 42-49.
- You, L., & Daigler, R. T. (2010). Using Four-Moment Tail Risk to Examine Financial and Commodity Instrument Diversification. Financial Review, 45(4), 1101-1123.
- You, L., & Daigler, R. T. (2013). A Markowitz Optimization of Commodity Futures Portfolios: A Markowitz Optimization of Commodity Futures Portfolios. Journal of Futures Markets, 33(4), 343-368.