Asymmetric effects of life and non-life insurance on economic growth in Saudi Arabia: A nonlinear analysis
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/ins.15(2).2024.03
-
Article InfoVolume 15 2024, Issue #2, pp. 26-34
- 114 Views
-
14 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This paper explores the asymmetric effects of life and non-life insurance on economic growth in Saudi Arabia. Quarterly data on insurance penetration rates and GDP growth from 2009 to 2022, obtained from the Global Economy, Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority, and World Bank databases, are utilized. A nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model is employed to examine the relationships between insurance and growth. The results reveal a significant and asymmetric relationship between life insurance penetration and GDP growth. Specifically, a 1% increase in life insurance penetration is associated with a 0.3% increase in GDP growth in the long run, while a 1% decrease shows no significant effect. For non-life insurance, both increases and decreases demonstrate significant but asymmetric impacts on growth. A 1% increase in non-life insurance penetration corresponds to a 0.2% increase in GDP growth, whereas a 1% decrease is linked to a 0.15% decrease in GDP growth. These findings support the ‘supply-leading’ hypothesis, suggesting that the insurance sector can play a leading role in promoting economic growth. The results provide new quantitative insights into the relationship between insurance and economic growth in Saudi Arabia, offering valuable implications for policymakers. It is suggested that the insurance industry can be leveraged to foster economic growth by promoting life insurance and managing the asymmetric impacts of non-life insurance.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)C32, E31, E32
-
References24
-
Tables7
-
Figures1
-
- Figure 1. Estimation procedure for the NARDL model
-
- Table 1. Data sources
- Table 2. Variables included in the analysis
- Table 3. Descriptive statistics
- Table 4. Unit root test results
- Table 5. NARDL estimation results
- Table 6. Diagnostic tests
- Table 7. Asymmetry tests
-
- Alhassan, A. L. (2016). Insurance market development and economic growth: Exploring causality in 8 selected African countries. International Journal of Social Economics, 43(3), 321-339.
- Apergis, N., & Poufinas, T. (2020). The role of insurance growth in economic growth: Fresh evidence from a panel of OECD countries. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 53, 101217.
- Arena, M. (2008), Does Insurance Market Activity Promote Economic Growth? A Cross-Country Study for Industrialized and Developing Countries. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 75, 921-946.
- Balcilar, M., Gupta, R., Lee, C. C., & Olasehinde-Williams, G. (2018). The synergistic effect of insurance and banking sector activities on economic growth in Africa. Economic Systems, 42(4), 637-648.
- Beck, T., & Webb, I. (2003). Economic, demographic, and institutional determinants of life insurance consumption across countries. The World Bank Economic Review, 17(1), 51-88.
- Chang, T., Lee, C. C., & Chang, C. H. (2014). Does insurance activity promote economic growth? Further evidence based on bootstrap panel Granger causality test. The European Journal of Finance, 20(12), 1187-1210.
- Cheng, S. Y., & Hou, H. (2022). Financial development, life insurance, and growth: Evidence from 17 European countries. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance: Issues and Practice, 47, 835-860.
- Dawd, I., & Benlagha, N. (2023). Insurance and economic growth nexus: New Evidence from OECD countries. Cogent Economics & Finance, 11(1), 2183660.
- Haiss, P., & Sümegi, K. T. (2008). he relationship between insurance and economic growth in Europe: a theoretical and empirical analysis. Empirica, 35, 405-431.
- Hemrit, W., & Benlagha, N. (2020). Asymmetric impacts of insurance premiums on the non-oil GDP: Some new empirical evidence. Applied Economics, 52(12), 1363-1376.
- Hou, H., & Cheng, S. Y. (2017). The dynamic effects of banking, life insurance, and stock markets on economic growth. Japan and the World Economy, 41, 87-98.
- Lee, C.-C., Chang, C. H., Arouri, M., & Lee, C.-C. (2016). Economic growth and insurance development: The role of institutional environments. Economic Modelling, 59, 361-369.
- Lee, C.-C., Chiu, Y. B., & Chang, C.-H. (2013). Insurance demand and country risks: A nonlinear panel data analysis. Journal of International Money and Finance, 36, 68-85.
- Mishra, S., & Narayan, P. K. (2015). A nonparametric model of financial system and economic growth. International Review of Economics & Finance, 39, 175-191.
- Narayan, P. K., & Narayan, S. (2013). The short-run relationship between the financial system and economic growth: New evidence from regional panels. International Review of Financial Analysis, 29, 70-78.
- Olayungbo, D. O., & Akinlo, A. E. (2016). Insurance penetration and economic growth in Africa: Dynamic effects analysis using Bayesian TVP-VAR approach. Cogent Economics and Finance, 4(1), 1150390.
- Outreville, J. F. (2013). The relationship between insurance and economic development: 85 Empirical Papers for a Review of the Literature. Risk Management and Insurance Review, 16(1), 71-122.
- Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326.
- Pradhan, R. P., Arvin, M. B., Bahmani, S., Bennett, S. E., & Hall, J. H. (2017). Insurance – growth nexus and macroeconomic determinants: Evidence from middle-income countries. Empirical Economics, 52, 1337-1366.
- Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling Asymmetric Cointegration and Dynamic Multipliers in a Nonlinear ARDL Framework. In Sickles, R., & Horrace, W. (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt. New York, NY: Springer.
- Skipper, H. D. (1997). Foreign Insurers in Emerging Markets: Issues and Concerns. Washington, D.C.: International Insurance Foundation.
- Ward, D., & Zurbruegg, R. (2000). Does insurance promote economic growth? Evidence from OECD countries. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 67(4), 489-506.
- Xu, G., & Gui, B. (2021), The non-linearity between finance and economic growth: a literature review and evidence from China. Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, 35(1), 3-18.
- Zou, H., Adams, M. B., & Buckle, M. J. (2017). Corporate Risks and Property Insurance: Evidence from the People’s Republic of China. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 70(2), 289-314.