UFC pay-per-view buys and the value of the celebrity fighter
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/im.13(4).2017.04
-
Article InfoVolume 13 2017, Issue #4, pp. 35-46
- Cited by
- 3906 Views
-
2295 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License
In 2016, the Ultimate Fighting Championship was sold for a reported price of $4 billion, the highest price ever paid for a sports franchise. This was a remarkable turn-around for a promotion that 15 years earlier was saved from bankruptcy by a $2 million buyout. This turnaround was driven by the UFC’s ability to mainstream the promotion and the sport while establishing reliable revenue streams through television contracts and massive pay-per-view events. In this paper, the authors review the pay-per-view record of the UFC and analyze the extent to which it is driven by high profile celebrity fighters with broad crossover appeal. Using statistical analysis, the authors identify the top crossover celebrities and assess the economic value they generate for the UFC. They compare this to the impact generated from the promotion’s highest ranked pound-for-pound fighter and find that celebrity has far more economic value than fighting skill.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)M30, M31
-
References59
-
Tables3
-
Figures5
-
- Fig. 1. Promotional Poster UFC 196
- Fig. 2. PPV buys (2001–2016)
- Fig. 3. PPV buys in the modern era
- Fig. 4. Histogram of PPV buys
- Fig. 5. Histogram coded for top celebrity fighters
-
- Table 1. PPV buys by year in the modern era
- Table 2. Regression model coefficients
- Table 3. Top 12 UFC pay-per-view events
-
- Agrawal, J., & Kamakura, W. A. (1995). The economic worth of celebrity endorses: an event study analysis. Journal of Marketing, 59(3), 56-62.
- Alexander, M. (2015). Johnson vs. Dodson 2' is lowest live gate for Vegas-based UFC PPV in 11 years.
- Amegashie, J. A., & Kutsoati, E. (2005). Rematches in Boxing and Other Sporting Events. Journal of Sports Economics, 6(4), 401-411.
- Bell, E. (2016). Gegard Mousasi blasts UFC for pay structure.
- BJPenn.com (2016). Dana White explains fighter pay, who makes the majority of the revenue and why.
- Boren, C. (2016). UFC sale is official at a reported $4 billion in one of the biggest sales in sports history.
- Ceranic, T. (2011). The Ultimate Fighting Championship and Cultural Viability. Harvard Business Publishing.
- Collier, T., Johnson, A. L., & Ruggiero, J. (2012). Aggression in Mixed Martial Arts: An Analysis of the Likelihood of Winning a Decision. In T. R. Jewell (Ed.), Violence and Aggression in Sporting Contests: Economics, History and Policy (pp. 97-109). New York, NY: Springer New York.
- Connolly, M. (2016, 8/25/16). New Numbers Cement Conor McGregor As UFC's Most Popular Fighter Ahead Of Ronda Rousey, Brock Lesnar. Forbes.
- Danaher, P., & Dagger, T. (2012). Using a nested logit model to forecast television ratings. International Journal of Forecasting, 28(3), 607-622.
- Danaher, P. J., Dagger, T. S., & Smith, M. S. (2011). Forecasting television ratings. International Journal of Forecasting, 27(4), 1215-1240.
- Davie, A. (2014). Is This Legal?: The Inside Story of The First UFC from the Man Who Created It: Ascend Books.
- DeSchriver, T. D. (2007). Much Adieu about Freddy: Freddy Adu and Attendance in Major League Soccer. Journal of Sport Management, 21(3), 438-451.
- Downey, G. (2006). The Information Economy In No-Holds-Barred Fighting Frontiers of Capital: Ethnographic Reflections on the New Economy. Duke University Press Books.
- Downey, G. (2007). Producing Pain: Techniques and Technologies in No-Holds-Barred Fighting. Social Studies of Science, 37(2), 201-226.
- Duggan, M., & Levitt, S. D. (2002). Winning Isn't Everything: Corruption in Sumo Wrestling. American Economic Review, 92(5), 1594-1605.
- Elberse, A. (2007). The Power of Stars: Do Star Actors Drive the Success of Movies? Journal of Marketing, 71(4), 102-120.
- Ess, R. (2017). Benson Henderson explains why Mayweather vs McGregor was bad for MMA.
- Fowlkes, B. (2015). Griffin vs. Bonnar, and trying to tell myth from memory.
- Garey, M. R., & Johnson, D. S. (1979). Computers and intractability: a guide to the theory of NP-completeness. San Francisco: W. H. Freeman.
- Gift, P. (2014). Performance Evaluation and Favoritism: Evidence from Mixed Martial Arts. Pepperdine University, Graziadio School of Business and Management.
- Golightly, J. (2017). CM Punk is Training For His Upcoming Return to MMA. BJPenn.com.
- Harkness, R. (2017). With PPV numbers in freefall, is the UFC still worth $4.3 billion?
- Hausman, J. A., & Leonard, G. K. (1997). Superstars in the National Basketball Association: Economic Value and Policy. Journal of Labor Economics, 15(4), 586-624.
- Johnson, J. D. (2009). Predicting Outcomes in Mixed Martial Arts Fights with Novel Fight Variables. (Master of Science). University of Georgia.
- Keegan, S. (2015, 11/17/15). Ronda Rousey is world's most popular female athlete ahead of Serena Williams and Maria Sharapova. The Mirror.
- Kraus, M. W., & Chen, T.-W. (2013). A winning smile? Smile intensity, physical dominance, and fighter performance. Emotion, 13(2), 270-279.
- Kuhn, R., & Crigger, K. (2013). Fightnomics: The Hidden Numbers in Mixed Martial Arts and Why There’s No Such Thing as a Fair Fight. Graybeard Publishing.
- Levitt, S. D., & Dubner, S. J. (2009). Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything. William Morrow Paperbacks.
- Lewis, M. (2004). Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game. W. W. Norton & Company.
- Markazi, A. (2017). Can Stipe Miocic and Joanna Jedrzejczyk become superstars?
- Mazique, B. (2016). Conor McGregor Isn't The Floyd Mayweather Jr. Of MMA, He's More Like Muhammad Ali. Forbes.
- McGowan, R. A., & Mahon, J. F. (2015). Demand for the Ultimate Fighting Championship: An Econometric Analysis of PPV Buy Rates. Journal of Business and Economics, 6(6), 1032-1056.
- Meltzer, D. (2016). UFC 203 pay-per-view numbers bring up tough questions about CM Punk's future.
- MMAMania.com. Ranking the top 20 MMA organizations of all time.
- MMAPayout.com. Pay-per-view : MMAPayout.com: The Business of MMA.
- O’Toole, J. (2016). Analysis: Why Are Many Irish UFC Fans Only Interested In Conor McGregor?
- Okamoto, B. (2015). UFC reveals fighter compensation in Reebok deal.
- Paul, R. J., & Weinbach, A. P. (2007). The uncertainty of outcome and scoring effects on Nielsen ratings for Monday Night Football. Journal of Economics and Business, 59(3), 199-211.
- Polacek, S. (2017). Mayweather vs. McGregor Purse: Breaking Down Prize Money Payouts for Both.
- Pugmire, L. (2017). Mayweather-McGregor pay-per-view numbers expected to set a record.
- Ravid, S. A. (1999). Information, Blockbusters, and Stars: A Study of the Film Industry. The Journal of Business, 72(4), 463-492.
- Reams, L., & Shapiro, S. (2016). Who's the main attraction? Star power as a determinant of Ultimate Fighting Championship pay-per-view demand. European Sport Management Quarterly, 17(2), 132-151.
- Rosen, S. (1981). The Economics of Superstars. The American Economic Review, 71(5), 845-858.
- Serafeim, G., & Welch, K. (2011). Ultimate Fighting Championship: License to Operate (A and B). Harvard Business Publishing.
- Shetty, B., Ohlmann, J. W., & Gaeth, G. J. (2016). Analysis of monday night football viewership. Statistical Analysis and Data Mining: The ASA Data Science Journal, 9(5), 326-337.
- Smith, M., & Ourand, J. (2016). What drove UFC’s $4 billion deal.
- Spekman, R. E., & Davis, E. W. (2004). Risky business: expanding the discussion on risk and the extended enterprise. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 34(5), 414.
- Tainsky, S., Salaga, S., & Santos, C. A. (2012). Determinants of Pay-Per-View Broadcast Viewership in Sports: The Case of the Ultimate Fighting Championship. Journal of Sport Management, 26(1), 43-58.
- Taylor, C. (2017a). Dana White fires back at Gegard Mousasi for pay complaints. BJPenn.com.
- Taylor, C. (2017b). Johnson vs. Reis draws worst overnight numbers in UFC on FOX history.
- Tenorio, R. (2000). The Economics of Professional Boxing Contracts. Journal of Sports Economics, 1(4), 363-384.
- Thomas, L. (2017). Wall Street rallies behind Oprah Winfrey as Weight Watchers' stock soars after earnings beat.
- Thomson, M., & Baker, J. (2010). The Ultimate Fighting Championships (UFC): The Evolution of a Sport. Harvard Business Publishing.
- Tovey, C. A. (2002). Tutorial on Computational Complexity. Interfaces, 32(3), 30-61.
- Třebický, V., Havlíček, J., Roberts, S. C., Little, A. C., & Kleisner, K. (2013). Perceived Aggressiveness Predicts Fighting Performance in Mixed-Martial-Arts Fighters. Psychological Science, 24(9), 1664-1672.
- UFC.com. Unified Rules and Other MMA Regulations.
- Watanabe, N. M. (2015). Sources of Direct Demand: An Examination of Demand for the Ultimate Fighting Championship. International Journal of Sport Finance, 10(1), 26-41.
- Wertheim, L. J. (2010). Blood in the Cage: Mixed Martial Arts, Pat Miletich, and the Furious Rise of the UFC. Houghton Mifflin Harcourt.