An empirical analysis of the determinants of the U.S. banks’ profitability
-
DOIdoi http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.16(4).2021.17
-
Article InfoVolume 16 2021 , Issue #4, pp. 209-217
- Cited by
- 697 Views
-
167 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This study investigates the determinants of the profitability of U.S. banks. Employing quarterly data, this paper further examines the historical and recent trends for all U.S. banks from 1996 to 2019 in the relationship between return and assets (ROA) and other bank internal (or endogenous) profitability contributors such as net interest margin (NIM), loan loss reserves, ratio of non-performing loans to gross loans, and external (or exogenous) macroeconomic variables, such as the 30-year average mortgage rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) economic growth rate, unemployment rate, interest rate, inflation rate and openness (i.e., exports + imports/GDP) by using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator technique. The results reveal that bank-specific variables, including net interest margin, loan loss reserves and non-performing loans, have a significant impact on bank profitability in the United States. Similarly, the results show that macroeconomic variables, namely the average mortgage rate, economic growth, and unemployment rate, exert significant effects on the U.S. banks’ profitability. The results further indicate that changes in openness are detrimental to bank profitability. The implications are discussed.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)G21, C23
-
References24
-
Tables4
-
Figures0
-
- Table 1. Descriptive statistics
- Table 2. Pearson correlation coefficients
- Table 3. Modified Dickey-Fuller unit root tests
- Table 4. GMM estimation results (dependent variable: ROA)
-
- Afanasieff, T., Lhacer P., & Nakane, M. (2001). The Determinants of Bank Interest Spreads in Brazil. Joint Research of the Central Bank of Brazil and the University of Sao Paulo.
- Agu, C. C. (1992). Analysis of the Determinants of the Nigerian Banking System’s Profits and Profitability Performance. Savings and Development, 16(4), 353-369.
- Ashraf, B. N., Arshad, S., & Liang, Y. (2017). Trade Openness and Bank Risk-Taking Behavior: Evidence from Emerging Economies. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 10(3), 15.
- Braun, M., & Raddatz, C. (2007). Trade liberalization, capital account liberalization and the real effects of financial development. Journal of International Money and Finance, 26, 730-761.
- Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Huizinga, H. (2000). Financial Structure and Bank Profitability (Policy Research Working Paper No. 2430). World Bank.
- Dickey, D., & Fuller, W. (1981). The Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Serieswith a Unit Root. Econometrica, 49(4), 1057-1072.
- Elliott, G., Rothenberg, T., & Stock, J. (1996). Efficient Test for an Autoregressive Unit Root. Econometrica, 64(4), 813-836.
- Fu, Q., & Heffernan, S. (2010). Determinants of financial performance in Chinese banking. Applied Financial Economics, 20(20), 1585-1600.
- Hanweck, G., & Ryu, L. (2005). The Sensitivity of Bank Net Interest Margins and Profitability to Credit, Interest-Rate, and Term-Structure Shocks Across Bank Product Specializations (Working Paper No. 2005-02).
- Heggestad, A. A., & Mingo, J. J. (1976). Prices, nonprice and concentration in commercial. Banking. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 8(1), 107-l17.
- Issah, M., & Antwi, S. (2017). Role of macroeconomic variables on firms’ performance: Evidence from the UK. Cogent Economics and Finance, 5(1), 1405581.
- Khan, W. A., & Sattar, A. (2014). Impact of Interest Rate Changes on the Profitability of four Major Commercial Banks in Pakistan. International Journal of Accounting and Financial Reporting, 4(1), 142-154.
- Kosmidou, K., Tanna, S., & Pasiouras, F. (2005). Determinants of Profitability of Domestic UK Commercial Banks: Panel Evidence from the Period 1995–2002 (Economics, Finance and Accounting Applied Research Working Paper Series No. RP08-4). Coventry: Coventry University.
- Lartey, V. C., Antwi, S., & Kofi, B. F. (2013). The Relationship between Net Interest Margin and Return on Assets of Listed Banks in Ghana. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 4(16), 73-79.
- Luo, Y., Tanna, S., & De Vita, G. (2016). Financial openness, risk, and bank efficiency: Cross-country evidence. Journal of Financial Stability, 24, 132-148.
- Miller, S. M., & Noulas, A. G. (1997). Portfolio mix and large-bank profitability in the USA. Applied Economics, 24(4), 505-512.
- Ndu, I., & Chukwuogor, C. (2021). Modelling Earnings Management, Corporate Governance, Capital Management and Risk Using Dynamic Panel Data Estimation: The Case of Listed Commercial Banks in the United States (Working Research Paper). Presented at the 50th NEDSI Annual Conference (virtual). United States.
- Ng, S. & Perron, P. (2002). PPP May not Hold Afterall: A Further Investigation. Annals of Economics and Finance, 3, 43-64.
- Rahman, M. M., Begum, M., Ashraf, B. N., & Masud, Md. A. K. (2020). Does Trade Openness Affect Bank Risk-Taking Behavior? Evidence from BRICS Countries. Economies, 8(3), 75.
- Ramlall, I. (2009). Bank-Specific, Industry-Specific and Macroeconomic Determinants of Profitability in Taiwanese Banking System: Under Panel Data Estimation. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 34, 160-167.
- Sufian, F., & Habibullah, M. S. (2009). Determinants of bank profitability in a developing economy: Empirical evidence from Bangladesh. Journal of Business Economics and Management, 10(3), 207-217.
- Vong, L. K. (2005). Loans and Profitability of Banks in Macao. AMCM Quarterly Bulletin, 15, 91-107.
- Wagner, J. (2012). International trade and firm performance: A survey of empirical studies since 2006. Review of World Economics, 148(2), 235-267.
- Wagner, J. (2013). Exports, imports and firm survival: First evidence for manufacturing enterprises in Germany. Review of World Economics, 149(1), 113-130.