A model proposal for estimating banks’ future value: Evidence from Turkey
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.16(4).2021.14
-
Article InfoVolume 16 2021 , Issue #4, pp. 169-178
- Cited by
- 427 Views
-
194 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Investors make solid decisions when evaluating their investments based on positive indicators the firm may show in the future, rather than based on its past performance. Accordingly, this study aims to investigate the relationship between performance criteria and the most significant value-based criterion; Economic Value Added (EVA). Further, it evaluates the impact of future EVA values on the bank value. Panel Data Analysis and the OLS Regression model are used to estimate the regression equation. The analysis is performed using data of 10 banks on the BIST Banks Index over the period 2011 to 2020. Furthermore, the EVA criterion was converted into standardized EVA(SEVA) by dividing EVA by total assets. The OLS regression analysis results revealed that the model’s explanatory power for the SEVA variable is 71.92%. The three variables that have positive correlation with SEVA are earnings per share (EPS) and TOBINQ rates at the 1% significance level and the price to sales growth rate with a degree of significance at 10%. Regarding the Panel Data Analysis results, while the explanatory power of the SEVA variable is 72.14%, its association with the EPS and TOBINQ criteria was found to be significant at the 1% significance level. The empirical investigations reveal that the model developed using the future SEVA as a proxy for bank value is found to be promising, and it is accepted that the SEVA variable can be used instead of the bank value.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)C23, G19, G21
-
References26
-
Tables7
-
Figures0
-
- Table 1. The Information of banks used in the analysis
- Table 2. The definition of variables
- Table 3. Descriptive statistics
- Table 4. Correlation coefficients
- Table 5. Diagnostic tests results
- Table 6. OLS regression results
- Table 7. Panel regression results
-
- Aktaş, B. (2012). Ekonomik Katma Değer ve Piyasa Katma Değeri Yöntemlerinin İMKB-30 Endeksine Uygulanması (Ph.D. Theis). Kadir Has University –Institute of Social Sciences.
- Azeem, A., Fayyaz, A., & Jadoon, A. K. (2018). Economic Value Addition Implications: A Study of the Pakistani Banking Industry. Pakistan Business Review, 19(4), 892-907.
- Baltagi, B. (2005). Economic Analysis of Panel Data. England: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
- Bayrakdaroğlu, A., & Şamiloğlu, F. (2011). Performans Ölçümünde Özsermayenin Ekonomik Katma Değeri (Ö- Ekd), İmkb’de Hisse Senetleri İşlem Gören Bankalar Üzerine Bir Uygulama. The Journal of Kocaeli University Social Sciences, 21(1),19-38.
- Birkan, R. (2015). Finansal Performansın Ölçülmesinde Ekonomik Katma Değer ve Bankacılık Sektöründe Piyasa Değeri ile İlişkisinin Analizi (2004–2013 Borsa İstanbul Uygulaması) (Ph.D. Thesis). Gazi University, Institute of Social sciences.
- Boztosun, D. (2017). Comparison of EVA (Economic Value-Added) and Accounting Profit in Explaining Share Returns of Deposit Banks. China-USA Business Review, 16(12), 565-575.
- Calayoğlu, İ. (2020). Geleneksel Performans Değerlendirme Ölçütlerinin Ekonomik Katma Değere Etkisi: Bilişim Endeksi Uygulaması (XBLSM). Journal of Business Research, 12(3), 2543-2555.
- Demirgüneş, K. (2009). Ekonomik Katma Değerin Hisse Senedi Getirileri ve Firma Değeri Üzerindeki Etkisi (Ph.D. Thesis). Niğde University, Institute of Social sciences.
- Figenkaplan, T. (2020). Bankaların Piyasa Değeri ile Ekonomik Katma Değeri Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi: Panel Nedensellik Analizi. BDDK Bankacılık ve Finansal Piyasalar Dergisi, 14(1), 39-67.
- Finegan, P. T. (1991). Maximizing Shareholder Value at the Private Company. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 4(2), 30-45.
- Gounder, C. G., & Venkateshwarlu, M. (2017). Shareholder Value Creation: An Empirical Analysis of Indian Banking Sector. Accounting and Finance Research, 6(1), 148-157.
- Grant, J. (2003). Foundations of Economic Value Added (2nd ed.). New York: John Wiley & Sons.
- Kleiman, R. (1999). Some New Evidence on EVA Companies. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 12(2), 80-91.
- Kumaran, S. (2017). Shareholder Value Index for Saudi Banks. International Journal of Financial Research, 8(4), 196-212.
- Machuga, S., Pfeiffer Jr., R., & Verma, K. (2002). Economic Value Added, Future Accounting Earnings, and Financial Analysts’ Earnings Per Share Forecasts. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 18(1), 59-73.
- Muraleetharan, P., & Kosalathevi, T. (2014). “Impact of Economic Value Added on Market Value Added”: Special Reference to Selected Private Banks in Sri Lanka. European Journal of Business and Management, 6(7), 92-97.
- Narwal, K., & Shweta, P. (2015). Nexus between Performance and Value Addition in Banking Sector. International Journal of Research in Management, 3(2), 126-132.
- Ongeri, B. O. (2014). Economic Value - Accounting Value Nexus: –The Effect of Accounting Measures on Economic Value Added Amongst the Kenyan Commercial Banks. An Online International Research Journal, 1(3), 182-200.
- Panahi, B., Preece, C, N., Wan Zakaria, W. N., & Rogers, J. (2014). The Correlation of EVA and MVA with Stock Price of Companies in Tehran Stock Market. Interdisciplinary Journal of Contemporary Research in Business, 6(2), 291-308.
- Pesaran, H. (2006). A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross Section Dependence. Journal Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265-312.
- Peixoto, Susana (2002), Economic Value Added Application to Portuguese Public Companies.
- Quintiliani, A. (2017), The Relationship between the Market Value Added of SMEs Listed on AIM Italia and Internal Measures of Value Creation the Role of Corporate Strategic Planning. International Journal of Financial Research, 9(1), 121-131.
- Stewart, G. B. (1991). The Quest for Value: The EVA Management Guide. New York: Harper Business.
- Tatoğlu, Y. F. (2016). Panel Veri Ekonometrisi. İstanbul: Beta Yayıncılık.
- Weissenrieder, F. (1997). Value-Based Management: Economic Value Added or Cash Value Added? (Working Paper FWC AB No. 1997/3).
- Wooldridge, J. M. (2002). Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge: The MIT Press.