Assessment and mitigation of credit risks in project financing
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.15(1).2020.08
-
Article InfoVolume 15 2020, Issue #1, pp. 72-84
- Cited by
- 1582 Views
-
1198 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Lending to long-term investment projects in fragile countries requires additional financial instruments to control the sustainability of project cash flows and to increase the borrower’s financial discipline in debt servicing. This paper analyzes the special aspects of using financial covenants as credit risk mitigation instruments in project financing in Ukraine. It also argues that regulatory requirements to maintain financial strength indicators at the appropriate level have an indirect impact on the change in project finance loan rates. The study primarily aims at developing approaches to defining a credit rate corridor for an investment project, depending on changes in the values of financial sustainability indicators. The implementation of the proposed approach allows increasing the validity of credit risk components for investors and optimizing capital value for borrowers.
As required by international practice, violation of covenant terms is the trigger for satisfying the creditors’ claims. According to the authors’ conclusions, the use of financial covenants as a tool for protecting the creditors’ interests should not be an instrument of unreasonable financial pressure on borrowers. The study reveals benefits and drawbacks of using financial covenants to mitigate credit risk and reduce the probability of a borrower default in the field of project financing in Ukraine.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)G28, G32, О22
-
References40
-
Tables3
-
Figures4
-
- Figure 1. Main stages of determining the value of borrowed capital to finance an investment project by reference to financial targets
- Figure 2. Determining the loan rate change corridor for an investment project adjusted for the DSCRi and LLCRс targets (to achieve target DSCRi and LLCRс)
- Figure 3. Acceptable interest rate for a project with financial covenants, %
- Figure 4. Interval changes of the annual NPV of an investment project while meeting the target financial covenants
-
- Table 1. Supervisory grades for project finance exposures according to Basel II
- Table 2. Test results for banking institutions’ compliance with covenant terms for 5-year lending to an investment project in Ukraine
- Table 3. Range of increasing the loan rate for an investment project based on the target financial covenants (DSCRi and LLCR), % of borrowers
-
- Babiak, N., & Savochka, V. (2015). Covenants as innovative instrument of credit risks’ financial management. Securities Market of Ukraine, 8, 3-9. (In Ukrainian).
- Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS). (2005). International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards: A Revised Framework: A Revised Framework. Basel: Bank for International Settlements.
- Belyaev, R. (2015). Covenants as Risk Management Tool in Credit Relations. Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Management, 1, 91-124. (In Russian).
- Bessis, J. (2015). Risk Management in Banking (4th ed.). Wiley.
- Billett, M., King, T., & Mauer, D. (2007). Growth Opportunities and the Choice of Leverage, Debt Maturity, and Covenants. Journal of Finance, 62(2), 697-730.
- Boberski, V. (2010). Community Banking Strategies: Steady Growth, Safe Portfolio Management, and Lasting Client Relationships. Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
- Chinwuba, E., & Pettinelli, L. (2017). Financial Covenants in Project Financing: Key Points.
- Christensen, H., & Nikolaev, V. (2012). Capital versus Performance Covenants in Debt Contracts. Journal of Accounting Research, 50(1), 75-116.
- COSO. (2017, June). Enterprise Risk Management – Integrating with Strategy and Performance. Executive Summary. Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission.
- Demiroglu, C., & James, C. (2010). The Information Content of Bank Loan Covenants. Review of Financial Studies, 23(10), 3700-3737.
- Denis, D., & Wang, J. (2014). Debt Covenant Renegotiations and Creditor Control Rights. Journal of Financial Economics, 113(3), 348-367.
- Docherty, A., & Viort, F. (2013). Better Banking: Understanding and Addressing the Failures in Risk Management, Governance and Regulation. Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
- Ehlers, T. (2014). Understanding the challenges for infrastructure finance (BIS Working Papers No. 454).
- Finnerty, J. D. (2013). Project Financing Asset-Based Financial Engineering (3rd ed.). Wiley.
- Gatti, S. (2008). Project Finance in Theory and Practice: Designing, Structuring, and Financing Private and Public Projects. Burlington: Academic Press/Elsevier.
- Ghosh, A. (2012). Managing Risks in Commercial and Retail Banking. Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
- Golin, J., & Delhaise, P. (2013). The Bank Credit Analysis Handbook: A Guide for Analysts, Bankers and Investors (2nd ed.). Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
- Haskell, C. T. (2005). Advanced Modelling for Project Finance. McGraw Hill.
- Khan, F., & Parra, R. (2003). Financing Large Projects: Using Project Finance Techniques and Practices. McGraw Hill.
- King, B. (2014). Breaking Banks. The Innovators, Rogues, and Strategists Re-booting Banking. Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
- Kong, D., Tiong, R., Cheah, Ch., & Permana, A. (2008). Assessment of Credit Risk in Project Finance. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 134(11), 876-884.
- Kurniawan, F., Mudjanarko, S. W., & Ogunlana, S. O. (2015). Best Practice for Financial Models of PPP Projects. Procedia Engineering, 125, 124-132.
- Miller, R., & Lessard, D. (2001). Understanding and managing risks in large engineering projects. International Journal of Project Management, 19(8), 437-443.
- Mishchenko, S., & Mishchenko, V. (2016). Combining the functions of strategic development and crisis management in central banking. Аctual Problems оf Economics, 2(176), 266-272. (In Ukrainian).
- Mishchenko, S., Naumenkova, S., & Lon, I. (2016). Monetary Cycles in the Economy of Ukraine. Аctual Problems оf Economics, 11(185), 363-372. (In Ukrainian).
- Mishchenko, V., Naumenkova, S., Ivanov, V., & Tishchenko, I. (2018). Special Aspects of Using Hybrid Financial Tools for Project Risk Management in Ukraine. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 15(2), 257-266.
- Moenjak, T. (2014). Central Banking: Theory and Practice in Sustaining Monetary and Financial Stability. Wiley Finance Series.
- National Bank of Ukraine (NBU). (2016). Regulation on determining the size of credit risk by active banks by banks of Ukraine: Resolution of the Board of the National Bank of Ukraine dated June 30, No. 351. (In Ukrainian).
- OECD. (2012). Recommendation of the Council on Principles for Public Governance of Public-Private Partnerships. OECD.
- Pettis, М. (2013). Avoiding the Fall: China’s Economic Restructuring. N.W., Washington: Carnegie Endowment for International Piece.
- Project Management Institute (PMI). (2013). A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (5th ed.). PMI, Inc., PMI.
- Roberts, M., & Sufi, A. (2009). Control Rights and Capital Structure: An Empirical Investigation. Journal of Finance, 64(4), 1657-1695.
- Rowey, K., Bliss N., Bonser, A., & Carver, A. (2008). Project Finance: Principles and Practice. Addison-Wesley Publishing Co.
- Sorge, M. (2004). The nature of credit risk in project finance (BIS Quarterly Review, December).
- Srivastava, V., & Dashottar, S (2019). Default Probability Assessment for Project Finance Bank Loans and Basel Regulations: Searching for a New Paradigm. The Journal of Structured Finance, 25(3), 59-66.
- The European Financial Services Round Table (EFR). (2015). Facilitating European Infrastructure Investment.
- Thumann, A., & Woodroof, E. A. (2009). Energy Project Financing: Resources and Strategies for Success. The Fairmont Press, Inc.
- Tinsley, R. (2002). Project finance in Asia Pacific: practical case studies. Euromoney Books.
- World Economic Forum (WEF). (2016). Risk Mitigation Instruments in Infrastructure Gap Assessment.
- Yescombe, E. R. (2014). Principles of Project Finance (2nd ed.). YCL Consulting Ltd.