Bank stability in South Africa: what matters?
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.14(1).2019.11
-
Article InfoVolume 14 2019, Issue #1, pp. 122-136
- 1618 Views
-
220 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
The study examined the determinants of bank stability within the South African banking sector. By controlling for individual bank characteristics and market characteristics, the study determined possible determinants of solvency, a proxy for bank stability, measured by z-score within the South African financial sector. The South African financial sector is highly concentrated but with a significantly large number of banks, the greater portion being foreign owned banks. The business models of some of the financial intermediaries differ from the big four and therefore the influence of the type of business model is of great interest in this study, as it highlights a unique feature of the South African financial sector. The study’s investigation used panel data estimation techniques and found that among the specific bank characteristics, lending activity and capitalization do significantly affect solvency of banks and at sector level concentration was significant. The crisis dummy also revealed that the presence of a financial crisis heightened insolvency. The results have implications for financial institutions and therefore are of interest to regulators, bank management and researchers. Policy prescription in the form of Prompt Corrective Action framework is made to ensure proactive reaction to trends likely to cause instability.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)G21, G33, G32, D43, D22
-
References75
-
Tables3
-
Figures4
-
- Figure 1. Number of banks in South Africa, 2002–2013
- Figure 2. Dependent variable – Z-score
- Figure 3. Capitalization (Equity ratio)
- Figure 4. Lending activity
-
- Table 1. Hausman tests – random versus fixed effects assumption
- Table 2. Presentation of random-effects GLS regression results
- Table 3. Comparison of three models
-
- Acharya, V. V. (2018). Prompt Corrective Action: An Essential Element of Financial Stability Framework. Indian Institute of Technology Conference.
- Adrian, T., & Shin, H. (2010). The changing Nature of Financial intermediaries and the financial crisis of 2007–2009 (Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports No. 439). Annual Review of Economics, 2, 603-618.
- Adusei, M. (2015). The impact of bank size and funding risk on bank stability. Cogent Economics & Finance, 3(1), 1-19.
- Alshubiri, F. N. (2017). Determinants of financial stability: an empirical study of commercial banks listed in Muscat Security Market. Journal of Business and Retail Management Research, 11(4), 192-200.
- Altunbas, Y., Marques-Ibanez, D., & Van Leuvensteijn, M. (2014). Competition and bank risk: The effect of securitization and bank capital (Working Paper Series No. 1678). European Central Bank.
- Amato, J. D., & Shin, H. S. (2003). Public and private information in monetary policy models (Bis Working Papers No. 138).
- Arun, T. G., & Turner, J. D. (2004). Corporate governance of banks in developing economies: Concepts and issues. Corporate Governance, 12(3), 371-377.
- Ayadi, R. B., Naceur, C., Casu, B., & Quinn, B. (2016). Does Basel Compliance matter for bank performance? Journal of Financial Stability, 23, 15-32.
- Banking Association of South Africa (BASA). (2013). The South African Banking Sector.
- Banking Association of South Africa (BASA). (2014). South African banking sector overview.
- Barry, T. A., Lepetit, L., & Strobel, F. (2016). Bank ownership structure, lending corruption and regulatory environment. Journal of Comparative Economics, 44(3), 732-751.
- Beck, T., De Jonghe, O., & Schepens, G. (2011). Bank competition and stability: Cross-country heterogeneity. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 22(2), 218-244.
- Bikker, J. A., & Haaf, K. (2002). Measures of Competition and Concentration in the Banking Industry: A Review of Literature. The Netherlands: Central Bank of the Netherlands.
- Bitar, M., Naceur, S. B., Ayadi, R., & Walker, T. (2017). Basel Compliance and Financial Stability: Evidence from Islamic Banks (IMF Working Paper No. 17/161).
- Blair, R. D., & Heggestad, A. A. (1978). Bank Portfolio and the Probability of Bank Failure. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 10(1), 88-93.
- Blanchard, O., Dell’Ariccia, G., & Mauro, P. (2010). Rethinking macroeconomic policy. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 42(1), 199-215.
- Boiven, J., Lane, T., & Meh, C. (2010). Should Monetary policy be used to counteract financial Imbalances? Bank of Canada Review, 23-36.
- Boyd, J. H., & Runkle, D. R. (1993). Size and performance of banking firms. Journal of Monetary Economics, 31(1), 47-67.
- Caprio, G., & Klingebiel, D. (1996). Bank insolvency: Bad luck, bad policy or bad thinking? Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics.
- Caprio, G., & Levine, R. (2002). Corporate governance in finance: Concepts and international observations (World Bank Paper).
- Chen, M., Jeon, B. N., Wang, R. & Wu, J. (2015). Corruption and bank risk-taking: Evidence from emerging economies. Emerging Markets Review, 24, 122-148.
- Čihák, M. (2007). Systemic loss: A measure of financial stability. Czech Journal of Economics and Finance, 57(1-2), 5-26.
- De Bandt, O., Camara, B., Pessarossi, P., & Rose, M. (2017). Can better capitalised banks be more profitable? An analysis of large French banking groups before and after the financial crisis. Economics and Statistics, 494-496, 131-148.
- Demsetz, R. S., Saidenberg, M. R., & Strahan, P. E. (1996). Banks with something to lose: The disciplinary role of franchise value. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic Policy Review, 2, 1-14.
- Denis, V., & Negotei, I.-A. (2018). Analysis of Financial Stability: The Construction of a New Composite Financial Stability Index for Euro Area. Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, XVIII(1), 264-270.
- Dexu, H. (2016). China’s financial stability. Inherent logic and basic framework. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.
- Diaconu, I. R., & Oanea, D. C. (2014). The Main Determinants of Bank’s Stability. Evidence from Romanian Banking Sector. Procedia Economics and Finance, 16, 329-335.
- Diaconu, I. R., & Oanea, D. C. (2015). Determinants of bank profitability: evidence from CreditCoop. Procedia Economics and Finance, 32, 488-495.
- Fiordelisi, F., & Mare, D. S. (2013). Probability of default and efficiency in cooperative banking. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 26, 30-45.
- Fouejieu, A. (2017). Inflation targeting and financial stability in emerging markets. Economic Modelling, 60(C), 51-70.
- Gamze, Ö. D. (2018). Determinants of Bank Stability: A Financial Statement Analysis of Turkish Banks. Sosyoekonomi Journal, 26(38), 87-103.
- Gersl, A., & Hermanek, J. (2006). Financial Stability Indicators: Advantages and Disadvantages of Their Use in the Assessment of the Financial System Stability (Financial Stability Report 2006) (pp. 69-79). Czech National Bank.
- Giavazzi, F., & Giovannini, A. (2010). The low-interest-rate trap.
- Goodwin-Groen, R. P. (2006). The National Credit act And Its Regulations in the Context of Access to Finance in South Africa. South Africa: FinMark Trust.
- Greene, W. H. (2008). Econometric Analysis. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall.
- Greene, W. H. (2012). Econometric Analysis (7th ed). Harlow: Pearson.
- Hausman, J. A. (1978). Specification tests in econometrics. Econometrica, 46(6), 1251-1271.
- Havenmann, R., & Gibson, K. (2014). Financial sector regulation bill 2013: Implementing twin peaks.
- Ichiue, H., & Lambert, F. (2016). Post-crisis International Banking; an Analysis with New Regulatory Survey Data (IMF Working Papers No. 16/88). International Monetary Fund.
- Ikpefan, O. A. (2012). The Impact of Bank Capitalization in the Performance of Nigerian Banking Industry (1986-2006). I-manager’s Journal on Management, 6(3), 31-45.
- Jimenez, G., Lopez, J. A., & Saurina, J. (2013). How does competition affect bank risk-taking? Journal of Financial Stability, 9, 185-195.
- Keeley, M. C. (1990). Deposit insurance, risk and market power in banking. American Economic Review, 80, 1183-1200.
- Kibritciogiu, A. (2002). Excessive Risk-taking, Banking Sector Fragility and Banking Crises. (Office of Research Working Paper No. 02-0114). University of Illinois, College of Commerce and Business Administration.
- Kick, T., & Prieto, E. (2013). Bank risk taking and competition: evidence from regional banking markets (Discussion Paper Deutsche Bundesbank No. 30/2013).
- Levine, R. (2004). The corporate governance of banks: A concise discussion of concepts and evidence (Policy Research Working Paper No. 3404).
- Marcus, A. J. (1984). Deregulation and bank financial policy. Journal of Banking and Finance, 8, 557-565.
- Maredza, A., & Ikhide, S. (2013). The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Efficiency and Productivity of the Banking System in South Africa (Working Paper No. 328). Southern Africa: Economic Research.
- Martinez-Miera, D., & Repullo, R. (2010). Does competition reduce the risk of bank failure? Review of Financial Studies, 23, 3638-3664.
- Miah, M. D, & Uddin, H. (2017). Efficiency and stability: A comparative study between islamic and conventional banks in GCC countries. Future Business Journal, 3(2), 172-185.
- Miklaszewska, E., Mikołajczyk, K., & Pawlowska, M. (2012). The consequences of post-crisis regulatory architecture for banks in Central Eastern Europe (NBP Working Paper No. 131). National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute.
- Mirzaei, A., & Moore, T. (2014). What are the driving forces of bank competition across different income groups of countries? Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 32, 38-71.
- Mlambo, K., & Ncube, M. (2011). Competition and Efficiency in the Banking Sector in South Africa. African Development Review, 23, 4-15.
- Montes, G. C., & Peixoto, G. B. (2014). Risk-taking channel, bank lending channel and the “paradox of credibility”: Evidence from Brazil. Economic Modelling, 39, 82-94.
- National Treasury. (2018). New Twin Peaks Regulators Established.
- OECD. (2011). Bank Competition and Financial Stability.
- Ozili, P. K. (2018). Banking stability determinants in Africa. International Journal of Managerial Finance, 14(4,) 462-483.
- Paligorova. T, & Jimenez, J. (2012). Monetary policy and the risk-taking channel: Insights from the lending behaviour of Banks. Bank of Canada Review, 23-30.
- Rajan, R. (2006). Has Finance Made the World Riskier? European Financial Management, 12(4), 499-533.
- Reinhardt, F. (1999). Market failure and the environmental policies of firms. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 3(1), 9-21.
- Roy, A. D. (1952). Safety First and the Holding of Assets. Econometrica, 20(3), 431-449.
- Schaeck, K., & Cihak, M. (2010). Competition, efficiency, and soundness in banking: An industrial organization perspective. SSRN Electronic Journal.
- Schaeck, K., & Cihak, M. (2014). Competition, Efficiency, and Stability in Banking. Financial Management, 215-241.
- Schraten, J. (2014). The transformation of the South African credit market. Transformation, 85(1), 1-20.
- Shaddady, A., & Moore, T. (2018). Investigation of the effects of financial regulation and supervision on bank stability: The application of CAMELS-DEA to quantile regressions. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 58, 96-116.
- Shijaku, G. (2017). Bank Stability and Competition: Evidence from Albanian Banking Market. Eurasian Journal of Business and Economics, 10(19), 127-154.
- Srairi, S. (2013). Ownership structure and risk-taking behaviour in conventional and Islamic banks: Evidence for MENA countries. Borsa Istanbul Review, 13, 115-127.
- Theobald, S. (2013). The risk of unsecured lending in South Africa (Occasional Research Report). Leriba: Leriba Consulting Limited.
- Tunay, K. B., & Yüksel, S. (2017). The relationship between corporate governance and foreign ownership of the banks in developing countries. Contaduríay Administración, 62(5), 1627-1642.
- Vives, X. (2016). Competition and stability in banking: The role of competition policy and regulation. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
- Wagner, W. (2006). Diversification at financial institutions and systemic crises. The Netherlands: Tilburg University, Centre for Economic Research.
- Wagner, W. (2011). Systemic liquidation risk and the diversity-diversification trade-off. Journal of Finance, LXVI(4), 1141-1176.
- Yüksel, S. (2017). Determinants of the credit risk in developing countries after economic crisis: A case of Turkish banking sector. In Global financial crisis and its ramifications on capital markets (pp. 401-415). Cham: Springer.
- Yüksel, S., Mukhtarov, S., Mammadov, E., & Özsarı, M. (2018). Determinants of Profitability in the Banking Sector: An Analysis of Post-Soviet Countries. Economies, 6(3), 41-56.
- Zhang, Z., Xie, L., Lu, X., & Zhang, Z. (2015). Determinants of Financial Distress In Large Financial Institutions: Evidence From U.S. Bank Holding Companies. Contemporary Economic Policy: Western Economic Association International, 34(2), 217-386.
- Zhao, Y. Z. (2017). Effects of Deposit Insurance on Self-Discipline of Bank Franchise Value. American Journal of Industrial and Business Management, 7, 179-190.