Natalia Pavlova
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Defining the probability of bank debtors’ default using financial solvency assessment models
Yana Kuznichenko , Mariia Dykha , Natalia Pavlova , Serhiy Frolov , Olha Hryhorash doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.13(2).2018.01Banks and Bank Systems Volume 13, 2018 Issue #2 pp. 1-11
Views: 1371 Downloads: 275 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯDue implementation of debtors’ financial solvency assessment models by Ukrainian banks with the aim of calculating the probability of their default (PD) is the next step towards the integration of Ukrainian banking system into global banking community, convergence of methodical approaches to assessing the credit risk with standards of international practice, possibility of using IRB-approach (an approach based on internal ratings) for calculating the regulatory requirements to capital adequacy.
The analysis of approaches to bank credit portfolio segmentation according to types of debtors and debtors’ financial solvency assessment models, depending on the performed segmentation and accumulated bank statistical data, from the point of view of its suitability for Ukrainian banks, will enable the banks to choose the most suitable ones for implementation taking into account nature and complexity of operations performed.
Such approaches will be more adapted to minimum capital requirements, simultaneously agreeing with national supervisory priorities. -
Analysis of financial flows in the budget process of Ukraine under the conditions of structural imbalances of the financial system
Kateryna Romenska , Volodymyr Orlov , Natalia Pavlova , Ruslana Kryvenkova , Iryna Shalyhina doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/pmf.11(1).2022.04Public and Municipal Finance Volume 11, 2022 Issue #1 pp. 37-53
Views: 512 Downloads: 100 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯAdjusting the balanced movement of financial flows in the budget process is a vital component of ensuring the functioning of the financial system. This study aims to identify and outline possible areas for improving the management of financial flows in the budget process of Ukraine to regulate structural imbalances of the financial system. With the help of ranking and clustering, the analysis and assessment of local budgets based on indicators that characterize the movement of financial flows was carried out. The used methods made it possible to consider the differences in the formation and direction of budget flows of territorial communities and determine the progress of administrative-territorial units. An assessment of the state of financial flows consolidated in the treasury single account of Ukraine was conducted: the dynamics of balance, the volume of loans and repayments to local budgets, and the Pension Fund of Ukraine were considered. The assessment results made it possible to determine the directions of setting a stable and balanced movement of financial flows and levers to regulate the impact of structural imbalances of the financial system related to the management of cash balances of the treasury single account and increase of its liquidity. The volumes of revenues, expenditures, deficit, and borrowings to the State Budget of Ukraine were estimated to determine the conditions that cause imbalances in the financial system. The directions for timely and complete execution of the decisions by state authorities and local self-governments are outlined.
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