The impact of stock market development on economic growth: A GMM approach
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.18(3).2021.07
-
Article InfoVolume 18 2021, Issue #3, pp. 74-81
- Cited by
- 1106 Views
-
1348 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This study investigated the impact of stock market development (SMD) on economic growth (EG) among emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs) in Asia. The data sample includes eight Asian EMDEs (China, Indonesia, India, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) from 2008 to 2019. These countries share several similarities, so this ensures reliability of the results. Regarding the analysis, the generalized method of moments (GMM) is used for the estimation. The results show that SMD exerts a positive impact on EG. This finding confirms the importance of SMD in improving efficient capital accumulation and allocation, and also allows investors to reduce risks and increase liquidity, which will boost EG. Further, the significant influence of domestic credit (DC), control of corruption (CC), and inflation (INF) on EG is also highlighted. These findings are valuable empirical evidence that greatly contributes to reinforcing the suitability of classical economic growth theories, especially the theory of endogenous growth. They are also essential to EMDEs in Asia. Accordingly, the EMDEs should develop effective policies to improve the stock market’s scale, which contributes substantially to the development of EG. Moreover, these economies need to pursue many appropriate policies in sync, such as stimulating SMD, improving governance effectiveness and implementing effective macroeconomic policies.
Acknowledgment
This study was funded by the Industrial University of Ho Chi Minh City (IUH), Vietnam (grant number: 21/1TCNH01).
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)F43, G15, G23
-
References42
-
Tables6
-
Figures1
-
- Figure 1. GDP per capita and SMD of Asian EMDEs in 2019
-
- Table 1. Summary of the variables
- Table 2. Summary statistics
- Table 3. Correlation matrix
- Table 4. Estimated results
- Table 5. Model testing results
- Table 6. Results using the GMM
-
- Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment fluctuations. Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297.
- Atje, R., & Jovanovich, B. (1993). Stock markets and development. European Economic Review, 37(2-3), 632-640.
- Barro, R. J. (1991). Economic growth in a cross section of countries. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106, 407-443.
- Beck, T., & Levine, R. (2004). Stock markets, banks, and growth: Panel evidence. Journal of Banking and Finance, 28(3), 423-442.
- Botev, J., Egert, B., & Jawadi, F. (2019). The nonlinear relationship between economic growth and financial development: Evidence from developing, emerging and advanced economies. International Economics, 160, 3-13.
- Cho, Y. J. (1986). Inefficiencies from financial liberalisation in the absence of well-functioning equity markets. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 18(2), 191-199.
- Colombage, S. R. N. (2009). Financial markets and economic performances: Empirical evidence from five industrialized countries. Research in International Business and Finance, 23(3), 339-348.
- Cooray, A. (2010). Do stock markets lead to economic growth? Journal of Policy Modeling, 32, 448-460.
- Demirguoc-Kunt, A., & Levine, R. (1996). Stock market development and financial intermediaries: Stylized facts. World Bank Economic Review, 19(2), 291-322.
- Enisan, A. A., & Olufisayo, A. O. (2009). Stock market development and economic growth: Evidence from seven Sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of Economics and Business, 61(2), 162-171.
- Estrada, G., Park, D., & Ramayandi, A. (2010). Financial Development and Economic Growth in Developing Asia (ADB Working Economic Series, No. 233).
- Garrestsen, H., Lensink, R., & Sterken, E. (2004). Growth, financial development, societal norms and legal institutions. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 14(2), 165-183.
- Hoskisson, R. E., Eden, L., Lau, C. M., & Wright, M. (2000). Strategy in Emerging Economies. Academy of Management Journal, 43(3), 249-267.
- Keynes, J. M. (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. London: Macmillan.
- King, R. G., & Levine, R. (1993a). Finance and growth: Schumpeter might be right. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 108(3), 717-738.
- King, R. G., & Levine, R. (1993b). Finance, entrepreneurship and economic growth: Theory and evidence. Journal of Monetary Economics, 32(3), 513-542.
- Kolapo, F. T., & Adaramola, A. O. (2012). The impact of the Nigerian capital market on economic growth (1990–2010). International Journal of Developing Societies, 1(1), 11-19.
- Korajczyk, R. A. (1996). A Measure of Stock Market Integration for Developed and Emerging Markets. World Bank Economic Review, 10(2), 267-289.
- Levine, R., & Zervos, S. (1998). Stock markets, banks and growth. American Economic Review, 88(3), 537-558.
- Lucas, R. E. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22(1), 3-42.
- Mankiw, N. G., Romer, D., & Weil, D. (1992). A contribution to the empirics of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(2), 407-437.
- McKinnon, R. I. (1973). Money and capital in economic development. Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution.
- Mody, A. (2004). What Is an Emerging Market? (IMF Working Paper WP/04/177).
- Naceur, S. B., & Ghazouani, S. (2007). Stock markets, banks, and economic growth: Empirical evidence from the MENA region. Research in International Business and Finance, 21(2), 297-315.
- Ngare, E., Nyamongo, E. M., & Misati, R. N. (2014). Stock market development and economic growth in Africa. Journal of Economics and Business, 74, 24-39.
- Nguyen, M.-L. T., & Bui, T. N. (2019). Stock market, real estate market, and economic growth: an ARDL approach. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 16(4), 290-302.
- Nieuwerburgh, S. V., Buelens, F., & Cuyvers, L. (2006). Stock market development and economic growth in Belgium. Explorations in Economic History, 43(1), 13-38.
- Olwenyand, T. O., & Kimani, D. (2011). Stock market performance and economic growth empirical evidence from kenya using causality test approach. Advances in Management & Applied Economics, 1(3), 153-196.
- Pan, L., & Mishra, V. (2017). Stock market development and economic growth: Empirical evidence from China. Economic Modelling, 68, 661-673.
- Pradhan, R. P., Arvin, M. B., Hall, J. H., & Bahmani, S. (2014). Causal nexus between economic growth, banking sector development, stock market development, and other macroeconomic variables: The case of ASEAN countries. Review of Financial Economics, 23(4), 155-173.
- Reinhart, C. M., & Tokatlidis, I. (2003). Financial liberalization: The African experience. Journal of African Economies, 12(2), 53-88.
- Ricardo, D. (1817). On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation. London: John Murray.
- Rousseau, P. L., & Vuthipadadorn, D. (2005). Finance, investment and growth: time series evidence from 10 Asian economies. Journal of Macroeconomics, 27(1), 87-106.
- Rousseau, P. L., & Wachtel, P. (2000). Banks, stock markets and China’s great leap forward. Emerging Markets Review, 8(3), 206-217.
- Schumpeter, J. A. (1911). The theory of economic development. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
- Setiawan, B., Purnamasari, E., & Ulum, M. B. (2020). Macroeconomic Indicators and Stock Market Development on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from ASEAN Countries. Sriwijaya International Journal of Dynamic Economics and Business, 3(4), 271-282.
- Shaw, E. S. (1973). Financial deepening in economic development. New York: Oxford University Press.
- Smith, A. (1776). An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (1st ed.). London: W. Strahan.
- Solow, R. M. (1956). A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65-94.
- Swan, T. W. (1956). Economic Growth and Capital Accumulation. Economic Record, 32(2), 324-361.
- Tsouma, E. (2009). Stock returns and economic activity in nature and emerging markets. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 49(2), 668-685.
- Xu, Z. (2000). Financial development, investment, and economic growth. Economic Inquiry, 38(2), 331-344.