Survival dynamics of SMES supported by credit guarantee schemes: Insights from Morocco

The health sector in Morocco is marked by many achievements, but also by large deficits, especially in terms of healthcare expenditures borne by individuals. With the introduction of Islamic banks (called participative banks) in Morocco, the study aims to determine the extent to which Ijara Forward, as an Islamic financial contract, is adapted to the expectations of Moroccans to finance their health expenditures.
The study sample consisted of 200 individuals. The univariate and bivariate analyses are used to identify possible relationships between the study variables. In addition, this paper proposes a model that will predict the demand for Ijara Forward based on the logistic regression method.
The results reveal that the financial characteristics of the Ijara Forward contract are in line with the financial expectations of Moroccan individuals. Furthermore, the cost of health services is the main factor that makes healthcare inaccessible. This factor influences the demand of Ijara Forward. In addition, this paper reveals that religious beliefs stimulate Ijara Forward’s demand and encourages people to pay a higher price for Ijara Forward.

This study uses a quantitative approach to examine the determinants of SME financing in Morocco. The sample consists of 500 Moroccan SMEs that have submitted applications for bank finance, with their applications being assessed for a possible government credit guarantee. The sample includes companies that obtained state-guaranteed bank financing, those whose applications were rejected but that obtained other financing, and those that did not obtain financing, all evaluated in the year following the application. The analysis is based on nominal logistic regression to examine the interactions between different variables, including the amount of credit requested, profitability, debt level, repayment capacity, size, managerial shareholding, decision-making maturity, and the presence of a government credit guarantee. Following careful collection and analysis of the data, a number of results were drawn. In particular, it emerged that high profitability, solid repayment capacity, a minimum size requirement, an appropriate level of debt, high decision-making maturity and the presence of a government credit guarantee are significant factors that increase the likelihood of obtaining financing. On the other hand, the amount of credit requested and the manager’s shareholding did not show any significant impact on the probability of obtaining financing.

Bank financing decisions by small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are crucial to their growth and survival, particularly in emerging economies such as Morocco. This study aims to assess the impact of behavioral biases on these decisions, an area little explored in the existing financial literature. The main objective is to analyze how behavioral biases such as overconfidence, risk aversion, confirmation bias, anchoring, and managerial myopia biases influence bank financing decisions of Moroccan SMEs. The approach adopted is quantitative and uses robust least squares regression to analyze data collected from 167 Moroccan SMEs. The results reveal that overconfidence and anchoring have a significant positive impact on the propensity to take out bank loans, while risk aversion and confirmation bias have a negative effect. Managerial myopia had no significant influence. Control variables such as past financial performance, the length of the banking relationship, and lower risk also positively influence the financing decision.