Population growth and food security: Evidence from Nigeria
-
DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/ppm.20(2).2022.33
-
Article InfoVolume 20 2022, Issue #2, pp. 402-410
- Cited by
- 1338 Views
-
961 Downloads
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
The average agriculture output growth between 2011–2020, which stood at 3.5% against the backdrop of over 2.6% population growth rate, accounts for the present food insecurity, hunger, and malnutrition in Nigeria. The study aims to examine the impact of population growth on food security in Nigeria with data covering 1986–2020. The study employed two models: the first model analyzed agriculture output as a function of population growth rate. The second model examined the impact of population growth and agriculture productivity on economic growth. The Cochrane-Orcutt iterative method on an ordinary least squared (OLS) was employed. The study results found that population growth had a significant impact on agriculture output. However, the paper further substantiated that economic growth is significantly and positively responsive to changes in agriculture output and population growth rate in Nigeria. Among other things, the study recommended the government consider an increase in budget allocation to the agriculture sector so as to boost food output. Finally, the government may also consider introducing a policy that would encourage small families, thereby reducing the country’s population growth rate.
- Keywords
-
JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)C53, E21, E27
-
References25
-
Tables4
-
Figures1
-
- Figure 1. Trend of food security and population growth in Nigeria
-
- Table 1. Structure of food security and population growth in Nigeria (%)
- Table 2. Results of unit root test
- Table 3. Model 1
- Table 4. Model 2
-
- Abdulrahaman, S. (2013a). Expenditure on agricultural sector and food security in Nigeria (1985–2010). International Journal of Social Science Tomorrow, 2(1), 1-6.
- Abdulrahaman, S. (2013b). Population growth and food security in Nigeria (2010–2012). Arabian Journal of Business and Management Review, 1(3), 41-54.
- Adebayo, A. A. (2010). Food security status in Nigeria: Pre and post deregulation review. International Journal of Economic Development Research and Investment, 1(1), 135-162.
- Adetiloye, K. A. (2012). Agricultural financing in Nigeria: An assessment of the agricultural credit guarantee scheme in Nigeria, 1978–2006. Journal of Economics, 3(1), 39-48.
- Aiyedogbon, J. O., Zhuravka, F., Korneyev, M., Banchuk-Petrosova, O., & Kravchenko, O. (2022). Impact of public debt profile on economic growth: Evidence from Nigeria. Public and Municipal Finance, 11(1), 10-19.
- Akpan, E. O. (2009). Oil resources management and food insecurity in Nigeria. International Conference on European Report on Development. Accra Ghana.
- Babatunda, R. O., Omotesho, O. A., & Shototan, O. S. (2007). Socio-economic characteristics and food security status of farming households in Kwara State, North-Central, Nigeria. Pakistan Journal of Nutrition, 6(1), 49-58.
- Bremner, J. (2012). Population and food security: Africa’s challenge (Policy Brief). Population Reference Bureau.
- FAO. (2021). Perspective study on agriculture development in the Shellian countries. African Journals Online, 3, 22-35.
- FAO. (2010). World food crisis: The price of Neglect. Lagos: CBN.
- Fayeye, T. R., & Ola, D. J. (2007). Strategies for food security and health improvement in the sub-Saharan Africa. World Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 3(6), 808-814.
- Gee, E. M. (1999). Population growth. Encyclopedia of Death and Dying.
- Gueye, M., Abdelkarim, O. B., & Diop-Ly, M. (2013). Modernizing agriculture. In A. Soucat & N. Mthuli (Eds.), One billion people, one billion opportunities: Building human capital in Africa. Washington D.C.: Communications Development Incorporated.
- Index Mundi. (n.d.). Indicators.
- Iwu, N. N. (2020). Food security and population growth in Nigeria. IJRDO Journal of Social Science and Humanities Research, 5(4), 93-113.
- Johari, J. C. (2015). International relations and politics: Theoretical perspectives in the post-cold war era. New Delhi: Sterling Publishers Pvt. Ltd.
- Matemilola, S., & Elegbede, I. (2017). The challenges of food security in Nigeria. Open Access Library Journal, 4, e4185.
- Oguntegbe, K. F., Okoruwa, V. O., Obi-Egbedi, O., & Olagunju, K. O. (2018). Population growth problems and food security in Nigeria. SSRN Electronic Journal.
- Osu, A. K. (2017). Population dynamics and food security in Nigeria. International Journal of Advanced Studies in Economics and Public Sector Management, 5(2), 129-139.
- Otaha, I. J. (2013). Food insecurity in Nigeria: Way forward. African Research Review, 7(4), 26-35.
- Owoo, N. O. (2021). Demographic considerations and food security in Nigeria. Journal of Social and Economic Development, 23, 128-167.
- Peters, N. (2015). Population dynamics, savings and agricultural output in Nigeria. Social Science Journal, 8(2), 98-107.
- Wilson, G., & Wilson, K. (2013). Food security and national development. Journal of Social Sciences and Development, 1(4), 316-325.
- World Bank. (2020). Nigeria poverty in the midst of plenty. The challenge of growth without development. A World Bank poverty assessment. Abuja: Will R.E. and Valter.
- Zhuravka, F., Filatova, H., Šuleř, P., & Wołowiec, T. (2021). State debt assessment and forecasting: time series analysis. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 18(1), 65-75.