Performance of the Average Directional Index as a market timing tool for the most actively traded USD based currency pairs
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Author(s)Ikhlaas GurribLink to ORCID Index: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8393-9790
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DOIhttp://dx.doi.org/10.21511/bbs.13(3).2018.06
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Article InfoVolume 13 2018, Issue #3, pp. 58-70
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Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License
The aim of this study is to test a trading system based on the average directional index, which is complemented with the parabolic stop and reverse indicator. The trend-based system is tested onto the most actively traded USD based foreign currency pairs, using both monthly and weekly data set over 2000–2018. Sharpe and Sortino measures are used to track the performance of the currency pairs, based on total risk and downside risk assumptions. Results are robust tested by decomposing the data into pre and post 2008 financial crisis. Using an investment horizon over 18 years, the reliance upon the monthly model produced lower maximum drawdowns and lesser trades than the weekly model. While Swiss Franc had the best (worse) performance in the monthly (weekly) based model, the Chinese Renminbi witnessed the worse (best) performance in the monthly (weekly) based model. Pre and post financial crisis decompositions suggest the weekly-based system is more reliable than the monthly one with relatively more trades and positive performance, where the Chinese Renminbi and Japanese Yen posted the highest Sharpe and Sortino values of 0.996 and 4.452 respectively in the post crisis period. Proportionately high level of negative returns coupled with relatively low positive Sharpe and Sortino values, however, suggest that a trading system relying on the average directional index and parabolic stop and reverse indicator to be further tested and analyzed at higher frequencies.
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JEL Classification (Paper profile tab)G11, G15, G17
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References42
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Tables3
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Figures1
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- Figure 1. Foreign exchange market turnover of USD based currency pairs
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- Table 1. Performance of trading strategy (2000–2018)
- Table 2. Pre 2008 financial crisis performance
- Table 3. Post 2008 financial crisis performance
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Horizon of cryptocurrency before vs during COVID-19
Ikaputera Waspada ,
Dwi Fitrizal Salim 
,
Astrie Krisnawati
doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.21511/imfi.20(1).2023.02
Investment Management and Financial Innovations Volume 20, 2023 Issue #1 pp. 14-25 Views: 900 Downloads: 437 TO CITE АНОТАЦІЯInvestment cannot be separated from the level of return and risk inherent in assets. Today, investment instruments are not only stocks, currencies, bonds, deposits, savings and others. The beginning of Bitcoin’s emergence as a pioneer of Cryptocurrency was in 2009. Crypto assets are emerging rapidly and are accompanied by an increase in the number of transactions each period. The growth in the market capitalization value of crypto assets has also grown significantly. During COVID-19, many investments, such as stocks, experienced a decline due to market uncertainty. The results of this study prove that with the existence of COVID-19, the crypto market is not affected. Crypto is an attraction characterized by a high degree of fluctuation, and there is no limit to transactions in the open market 24 hours to trade. The Cryptocurrency market is currently a market that can provide short-term benefits to risk-taking investors, while the market in other investment instruments is declining. 78% of the value capitalization of the top 200 cryptocurrencies is represented by the top 9 cryptos used as samples in this study. So that if there is a decrease in these 9 cryptos, it will also have an impact on the overall capitalization value of crypto in the market. The future development of Cryptocurrencies will no longer be digital assets traded with many speculators who can control prices, it can even be digital money that can be used worldwide without any transaction fees and is controlled on a blockchain system.
